A Novel Determinant of Prognosis in Acute Pulmonary Edema: Intermountain Risk Score.

Raif Kılıç, Adem Aktan, Tuncay Güzel, Ahmet Ferhat Kaya, Hamdullah Güzel, Bayram Arslan, Mehmet Ali Işık, Mehmet Sait Coşkun, Yusuf Çankaya
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Abstract

Objective: The Intermountain Risk Score (IMRS), calculated using age, gender, complete blood count (CBC), and simple laboratory analyses, is an easy-to-use and cost-effective tool developed to predict mortality. In our study, we aimed to determine whether the IMRS could predict mortality in patients admitted to the hospital with a diagnosis of acute pulmonary edema.

Methods: A total of 371 patients who were admitted with a diagnosis of pulmonary edema, were included in our study. The IMRS of the patients was determined using a calculation tool, and the patients were divided into three groups based on the determined value: low, moderate, and high IMRS.

Results: The patients included in our study comprised 208 women and 163 men, with an average age of 68.7 years. There was a statistically significant difference between the patient groups concerning both 1-month and 1-year mortality rates. Additionally, there was a significant difference in IMRS between patients who developed in-hospital, 1-month, and 1-year mortality and those who survived. In the Receiver Operating Characteristic (ROC) analysis, a cutoff value of 15.5 for the IMRS predicted both 1-year and 1-month mortality. In the Kaplan-Meier analysis, the highest mortality risk was observed in the high IMRS group and the lowest mortality risk in the low IMRS group.

Conclusion: Our research results show that the IMRS strongly predicts both short-term and long-term mortality in patients hospitalized with a diagnosis of acute pulmonary edema.

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急性肺水肿预后的新决定因素:山间风险评分。
目的:使用年龄、性别、全血细胞计数(CBC)和简单的实验室分析计算的山间风险评分(IMRS)是一种易于使用且具有成本效益的预测死亡率的工具。在我们的研究中,我们旨在确定IMRS是否可以预测诊断为急性肺水肿入院患者的死亡率。方法:共371例诊断为肺水肿的患者纳入我们的研究。采用计算工具测定患者的IMRS,并根据测定值将患者分为低、中、高IMRS三组。结果:纳入研究的患者女性208例,男性163例,平均年龄68.7岁。两组患者1个月和1年死亡率差异有统计学意义。此外,住院、1个月和1年死亡的患者与存活患者之间的IMRS有显著差异。在受试者工作特征(ROC)分析中,IMRS的截断值为15.5预测了1年和1个月的死亡率。Kaplan-Meier分析发现,高IMRS组的死亡风险最高,低IMRS组的死亡风险最低。结论:我们的研究结果表明,IMRS对诊断为急性肺水肿的住院患者的短期和长期死亡率都有很强的预测作用。
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