Diverse regulated cell death patterns and immune traits in kidney allograft with fibrosis: a prediction of renal allograft failure based on machine learning, single-nucleus RNA sequencing and molecular docking.

Abstract

Objectives: Post-transplant allograft fibrosis remains a challenge in prolonging allograft survival. Regulated cell death has been widely implicated in various kidney diseases, including renal fibrosis. However, the role of different regulated cell death (RCD) pathways in post-transplant allograft fibrosis remains unclear.

Methods and Results: Microarray transcriptome profiling and single-nuclei sequencing data of post-transplant fibrotic and normal grafts were obtained and used to identify RCD-related differentially expressed genes. The enrichment activity of nine RCD modalities in tissue and cells was examined using single-sample gene set enrichment analysis, and their relations with immune infiltration in renal allograft samples were also assessed. Parenchymal and non-parenchymal cells displayed heterogeneity in RCD activation. Additionally, cell-cell communication analysis was also conducted in fibrotic samples. Subsequently, weighted gene co-expression network analysis and seven machine learning algorithms were employed to identify RCD-related hub genes for renal fibrosis. A 9-gene signature, termed RCD risk score (RCDI), was constructed using the least absolute shrinkage and selection operator and multivariate Cox regression algorithms. This signature showed robust accuracy in predicting 1-, 2-, and 3-year allograft survival status (area under the curve for 1-, 2-, and 3-year were 0.900, 0.877, 0.858, respectively). Immune infiltration analysis showed a strong correlation with RCDI and the nine model genes. Finally, molecular docking simulation suggested rapamycin, tacrolimus and mycophenolate mofetil exhibit strong interactions with core RCD-related receptors.

Conclusions: In summary, this study explored the activation of nine RCD pathways and their relationships with immune traits, identified potential RCD-related hub genes associated with renal fibrosis, and highlighted potential therapeutic targets for renal allograft fibrosis.