The significance of the posterior tibial slope (PTS) has increasingly come into focus in anterior cruciate ligament (ACL) reconstruction being a risk factor for ACL graft failure. Nevertheless, inconsistent data on the critical value of the PTS exist. The purpose of this study was to define a cut-off value for the PTS in ACL surgery.
In a retrospective cohort study, 350 revision ACL reconstructions (ACL-RR) with a failed ACL hamstring graft and 350 primary ACL reconstructions (ACL-R) were matched according to age, gender, concomitant injuries and graft characteristics and compared to a healthy control group. Using the proximal anatomic axis, lateral knee radiographs were evaluated for the PTS, interrater reliability was defined, ROC curves, Fischer's exact test and Baptista–Pike method were applied to define specificity and the odds ratio for a critical PTS value.
Radiographic evaluation proved excellent interrater reliability (intraclass correlation coefficient 0.969). Evaluation of the PTS revealed 10.0 ± 2.2 (5–15) degrees in the ACL-RR group, 7.8 ± 1.8 (4.2–13) degrees in the ACL-R group and 6.6 ± 1.9 (3.6–12) degrees in the control group with significant differences between the groups (p < 0.001). A PTS value of 10.1 degrees proved a specificity of 98% for the prediction of an ACL graft failure and indicated an 11-fold risk for a retear of the ACL.
A PTS exceeding 10.1 degrees carries an 11-fold risk for ACL graft failure and, therefore, should be considered in ACL reconstruction. These findings might serve as a cut-off value for the indication of a slope-reducing high tibial osteotomy in ACL surgery.
Level III.

