O.A. Ojeda-Rojas , J. Pérez-Báez , S. Casaro , R.C. Chebel , F. Cunha , A. De Vries , J.E.P. Santos , F.S. Lima , P. Pinedo , G.M. Schuenemann , R.C. Bicalho , R.O. Gilbert , S. Rodriguez-Zas , C.M. Seabury , G. Rosa , W.W. Thatcher , K.N. Galvão
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引用次数: 0
Abstract
The goal of this study was to calculate the cost of purulent vaginal discharge (PVD) in dairy cows. The dataset included 11,051 cows from 16 dairy herds located in 4 regions of the United States. Purulent vaginal discharge was characterized as a mucopurulent, purulent, or reddish-brownish vaginal discharge collected at 28 ± 7 DIM. Gross profit was calculated as the difference between incomes and expenses, and the cost of PVD was calculated by subtracting the gross profit of cows with PVD from the gross profit of cows without PVD. Continuous outcomes such as milk production (kg/cow), milk sales ($/cow), cow sales ($/cow), feed costs ($/cow), reproductive management costs ($/cow), replacement costs ($/cow), and gross profit ($/cow) were analyzed using linear mixed effects models. Pregnancy and culling by 305 DIM were analyzed by generalized linear mixed effects models using logistic regression. Models included the fixed effects of PVD, metritis, parity, region, season of calving, and morbidity in the first 60 DIM, as well as the interactions between PVD and metritis, PVD and parity group, and PVD and morbidity. Farm and the interaction between PVD and farm were considered random effects in all the statistical models. A stochastic analysis was conducted using 10,000 iterations with varying relevant inputs. Cows with PVD produced less milk (9,753.2 ± 333.6 vs. 9,994.6 ± 330.9 kg/cow), were less likely to be pregnant (70.7 ± 1.7% vs. 78.9 ± 1.2%), and were more likely to be culled by 305 DIM (34.6 ± 1.7% vs. 27.2 ± 1.3%) compared with cows without PVD. Consequently, milk sales (4,744.7 ± 162.3 vs. 4,862.1 ± 161.0 $/cow) and residual cow value (1,079.6 ± 23.0 vs. 1,179.3 ± 20.3 $/cow) were lesser for cows with PVD. Replacement (639.4 ± 26.4 vs. 526.0 ± 23.4 $/cow) and reproductive management costs (76.3 ± 2.5 vs. 69.0 ± 2.4 $/cow) were greater for cows with PVD. The mean cost of PVD was $202. The stochastic analysis also showed a mean cost of $202, ranging from $152 to $265. The robust dataset and the stochastic analysis strengthen both the external and internal validity of our findings, offering a deeper understanding of the economic consequences of PVD. In conclusion, PVD resulted in large economic losses to dairy herds by being associated with decreased milk yield, impaired reproduction, and greater culling.
本研究的目的是计算奶牛脓性阴道分泌物(PVD)的成本。该数据集包括来自美国4个地区的16个奶牛群的11051头奶牛。脓性阴道分泌物表现为粘液化脓性、脓性或红褐色阴道分泌物,采集于28±7 d的乳汁中。毛利计算为收入与费用之差,而PVD的成本计算方法是用无PVD奶牛的毛利减去有PVD奶牛的毛利。采用线性混合效应模型对产奶量(公斤/头)、产奶量($/头)、产奶量($/头)、饲料成本($/头)、繁殖管理成本($/头)、重置成本($/头)和毛利润($/头)等连续结果进行分析。采用logistic回归的广义线性混合效应模型分析305只DIM的妊娠和淘汰情况。模型包括前60只DIM中PVD、子宫炎、胎次、地区、产犊季节和发病率的固定效应,以及PVD与子宫炎、PVD与胎次组、PVD与发病率的相互作用。在所有的统计模型中,农场和PVD与农场之间的相互作用都被认为是随机效应。随机分析使用不同相关输入的10,000次迭代进行。与未患PVD的奶牛相比,患PVD的奶牛产奶量(9,753.2±333.6比9,994.6±330.9 kg/头)更少,怀孕率(70.7±1.7比78.9±1.2%)更低,更容易被305 DIM淘汰(34.6±1.7比27.2±1.3%)。因此,PVD奶牛的牛奶销售(4,744.7±162.3 vs 4,862.1±161.0美元/头)和剩余牛价值(1,079.6±23.0 vs 1,179.3±20.3美元/头)较低。PVD奶牛的替代成本(639.4±26.4美元对526.0±23.4美元/头)和生殖管理成本(76.3±2.5美元对69.0±2.4美元/头)更高。PVD的平均费用为202美元。随机分析还显示,平均成本为202美元,从152美元到265美元不等。稳健的数据集和随机分析加强了我们研究结果的外部和内部有效性,为PVD的经济后果提供了更深入的理解。总之,PVD与产奶量下降、繁殖受损和扑杀增加有关,给奶牛群造成了巨大的经济损失。
期刊介绍:
The official journal of the American Dairy Science Association®, Journal of Dairy Science® (JDS) is the leading peer-reviewed general dairy research journal in the world. JDS readers represent education, industry, and government agencies in more than 70 countries with interests in biochemistry, breeding, economics, engineering, environment, food science, genetics, microbiology, nutrition, pathology, physiology, processing, public health, quality assurance, and sanitation.