Comparing extreme rainfall exposure to climate-focused planning efforts: A mixed methods analysis in the northeastern United States

IF 6 2区 工程技术 Q1 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES Urban Climate Pub Date : 2025-02-01 DOI:10.1016/j.uclim.2024.102258
Naomi Miller , Donovan Finn , Kevin A. Reed
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Abstract

This paper analyzes the motivation for climate planning at the local level in three states in the northeastern United States. Cataloging climate-focused plans in 461 coastal and riverine municipalities in New York, New Jersey, and Connecticut we compare these efforts to the incidence of extreme precipitation from 2000 to 2021 based on climatologies of precipitation derived from a large-scale meteorological dataset. Localities' experience with extreme precipitation and their climate planning status is also compared with a selection of socio-demographic indicators. For the region analyzed, climate-focused planning is relatively rare, but coastal communities experienced more frequent extreme precipitation events and appear to have engaged in more climate-focused planning relative to riverine communities and also are more likely to cite scientific evidence of climate change as justification for planning. Notably, some coastal communities engaged in climate-related planning despite having a higher proportion of Republican voters, who are typically more conservative and skeptical of both climate change and public policy efforts to address it. Finally, some storms, even when not climatologically extreme, nonetheless leave a lasting impression because of their impacts. These have significant implications for local efforts to address climate challenges, showing how extreme climatological events may drive government decisions and highlighting additional factors that may also amplify or impede planning for climate change.
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比较极端降雨暴露与以气候为重点的规划工作:美国东北部的混合方法分析
本文分析了美国东北部三个州的地方层面气候规划的动机。我们对纽约、新泽西和康涅狄格州461个沿海和河流城市的气候重点计划进行了编目,并将这些努力与2000年至2021年极端降水的发生率进行了比较,这些极端降水的发生率基于来自大型气象数据集的降水气候学。还将各地的极端降水经验及其气候规划状况与选定的社会人口指标进行了比较。对于所分析的区域,以气候为重点的规划相对较少,但沿海社区经历了更频繁的极端降水事件,似乎比河流社区更关注气候,也更有可能引用气候变化的科学证据作为规划的理由。值得注意的是,一些沿海社区参与了与气候相关的规划,尽管共和党选民的比例较高,而共和党选民通常更保守,对气候变化和应对气候变化的公共政策努力持怀疑态度。最后,一些风暴,即使在气候上不是极端的,也会因为它们的影响而留下持久的印象。这些对当地应对气候挑战的努力具有重要意义,表明极端气候事件如何推动政府决策,并强调可能扩大或阻碍气候变化规划的其他因素。
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来源期刊
Urban Climate
Urban Climate Social Sciences-Urban Studies
CiteScore
9.70
自引率
9.40%
发文量
286
期刊介绍: Urban Climate serves the scientific and decision making communities with the publication of research on theory, science and applications relevant to understanding urban climatic conditions and change in relation to their geography and to demographic, socioeconomic, institutional, technological and environmental dynamics and global change. Targeted towards both disciplinary and interdisciplinary audiences, this journal publishes original research papers, comprehensive review articles, book reviews, and short communications on topics including, but not limited to, the following: Urban meteorology and climate[...] Urban environmental pollution[...] Adaptation to global change[...] Urban economic and social issues[...] Research Approaches[...]
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