US household demand system analysis for dairy milk products and plant-based milk alternatives

Oral Capps, Lingxiao Wang
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Abstract

Using the QUAIDS model, we analyze interrelationships among dairy milk and plant-based milk alternatives (PBMA) for US households from 2018 to 2020 using NielsenIQ. We adopt the Shonkwiler–Yen methodology to account for censored observations. PBMA demand is inelastic, while milk products show elastic demand. PBMA substitutes for traditional white milk and organic milk. Traditional flavored milk and PBMA as well as lactose-free and organic milk are complements. PBMA and lactose-free milk are independent goods. Demographic factors like income, household size, and education significantly affect budget share, alongside women, infants, and children participation and the pandemic.

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美国家庭对乳制品、奶制品和植物性牛奶替代品的需求系统分析
使用QUAIDS模型,我们使用NielsenIQ分析了2018年至2020年美国家庭乳制品和植物性牛奶替代品(PBMA)之间的相互关系。我们采用Shonkwiler-Yen方法来解释审查后的观察。PBMA的需求是非弹性的,而乳制品的需求是弹性的。PBMA是传统白牛奶和有机牛奶的替代品。传统的风味牛奶和PBMA以及无乳糖和有机牛奶是互补的。PBMA和无乳糖牛奶是独立的产品。收入、家庭规模和受教育程度等人口因素,以及妇女、婴儿和儿童的参与和大流行病,严重影响预算份额。
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