MASLD Is Associated With an Increased Long-Term Risk of Atrial Fibrillation: An Updated Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis

Abstract

Background

Studies have reported an association between metabolic dysfunction-associated steatotic liver disease (MASLD) and an increased risk of developing atrial fibrillation (AF). However, the magnitude of the risk and whether this risk varies with the severity of MASLD remains uncertain.

Methods

In this systematic review and meta-analysis, we searched three large electronic databases using predefined keywords to identify cohort studies (published up to 30 September 2024) in which MASLD was diagnosed by liver biopsy, imaging methods, International Classification of Diseases (ICD) codes, or blood-based scores. The primary outcome was the occurrence of AF based on ICD codes, medical records, or electrocardiograms. Meta-analysis was performed using random-effects modelling.

Results

We identified 16 retrospective cohort studies with aggregate data on ~19.5 million individuals followed for a median of 7.2 years. MASLD was significantly associated with an increased risk of developing incident AF (random-effects hazard ratio 1.20, 95% CI 1.10–1.32; I² = 92%). This risk did not appear to further increase with the severity of liver fibrosis (n = 3 studies; random-effects hazard ratio 1.22, 95% CI 1.18–1.26; I² = 10%). The risk of AF remained significant even after adjusting for age, sex, body mass index, hypertension, Type 2 diabetes or other cardiometabolic risk factors. Sensitivity analyses did not modify these findings. The funnel plot and Egger's test showed no significant publication bias.

Conclusions

This updated and comprehensive meta-analysis provides evidence that MASLD is significantly associated with an increased long-term risk of developing incident AF. Further research is required to better decipher the link between MASLD and increased AF incidence.