[Parameter estimation using time-dependent Weibull proportional hazards model for survival analysis with partly interval censored data].

Shuying Wang, Xinyu Liu, Rundong Li, Yang Li
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Abstract

OBJECTIVE: To assess the validity and effectiveness of parameter estimation using a time-dependent Weibull proportional hazards model for survival analysis containing partly interval censored data and explore the impact of different covariates on the results of analysis. METHODS: We established a time-dependent Weibull proportional hazards model using the Weibull distribution as the baseline hazard function of the model which incorporated time-varying covariates. Maximum likelihood estimation was employed to estimate the model parameters, which were obtained by optimization of the likelihood function. RESULTS AND CONCLUSION: Numerical simulation results showed that with higher proportions of precise observations across different sample sizes and parameter settings, the proposed model resulted in improved accuracy of parameter estimation with coverage probabilities approximating the theoretical expectation of 95%. As the sample sizes increased, the parameter biases of the model tended to decrease. Experiments with empirical data further validated the effectiveness of the model. Compared with the failure time data for each precisely observed individual, additional interval-censored data helped to obtain more effective estimates of the regression parameters. Comparison with the Cox model that included time-varying covariates further demonstrated the effectiveness of the time-dependent Weibull proportional hazards model for parameter estimation in survival analysis with partly interval censored data.

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[使用时间相关威布尔比例风险模型进行部分区间截尾数据生存分析的参数估计]。
目的:评价含部分区间截尾数据的时间相关威布尔比例风险模型用于生存分析参数估计的效度和有效性,探讨不同协变量对分析结果的影响。方法:采用威布尔分布作为模型的基线风险函数,加入时变协变量,建立时变威布尔比例风险模型。采用极大似然估计对模型参数进行估计,通过优化似然函数得到模型参数。结果与结论:数值模拟结果表明,在不同样本量和参数设置下,较高的精确观测比例提高了模型的参数估计精度,覆盖概率接近理论期望的95%。随着样本量的增加,模型的参数偏差有减小的趋势。实验数据进一步验证了模型的有效性。与每个精确观察个体的失效时间数据相比,额外的区间截尾数据有助于获得更有效的回归参数估计。与包含时变协变量的Cox模型的比较进一步证明了时变威布尔比例风险模型在部分区间截尾数据的生存分析中参数估计的有效性。
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来源期刊
南方医科大学学报杂志
南方医科大学学报杂志 Medicine-Medicine (all)
CiteScore
1.50
自引率
0.00%
发文量
208
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