{"title":"Unlocking credit access: Using non-CDR mobile data to enhance credit scoring for financial inclusion","authors":"Rouzbeh Razavi, Nasr G. Elbahnasawy","doi":"10.1016/j.frl.2024.106682","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"A significant portion of the global adult population, particularly in developing markets, lacks access to formal credit due to the absence of traditional credit histories. This presents a major challenge for financial institutions, FinTech companies, and policymakers aiming to promote financial inclusion. While conventional credit scoring models are built on established financial data, the growing penetration of mobile phones offers an alternative means to assess credit risk. Unlike prior research focused on Call Detail Records (CDRs)—data generated by telecommunication providers capturing users' call and message activities, such as duration, frequency, and timing—this study investigates the predictive power of a broader spectrum of mobile usage data, including non-CDR attributes like social media engagement and web browsing habits, in assessing credit risk. Using a broad range of machine learning algorithms on actual mobile usage data from over 1,500 demographically diverse individuals over a two-week period, we find that while these mobile usage attributes alone cannot fully replace FICO scores in regression models (R²=0.30), they significantly enhance the accuracy of classification models, especially when combined with CDR data (Accuracy=0.89). These findings have important implications for credit markets in emerging economies, pathways for financial institutions and FinTech companies to engage with unbanked populations and support the growth of alternative credit assessment tools.","PeriodicalId":12167,"journal":{"name":"Finance Research Letters","volume":"14 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":7.4000,"publicationDate":"2024-12-25","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":"0","resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"Finance Research Letters","FirstCategoryId":"96","ListUrlMain":"https://doi.org/10.1016/j.frl.2024.106682","RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"","PubModel":"","JCR":"Q1","JCRName":"BUSINESS, FINANCE","Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Abstract
A significant portion of the global adult population, particularly in developing markets, lacks access to formal credit due to the absence of traditional credit histories. This presents a major challenge for financial institutions, FinTech companies, and policymakers aiming to promote financial inclusion. While conventional credit scoring models are built on established financial data, the growing penetration of mobile phones offers an alternative means to assess credit risk. Unlike prior research focused on Call Detail Records (CDRs)—data generated by telecommunication providers capturing users' call and message activities, such as duration, frequency, and timing—this study investigates the predictive power of a broader spectrum of mobile usage data, including non-CDR attributes like social media engagement and web browsing habits, in assessing credit risk. Using a broad range of machine learning algorithms on actual mobile usage data from over 1,500 demographically diverse individuals over a two-week period, we find that while these mobile usage attributes alone cannot fully replace FICO scores in regression models (R²=0.30), they significantly enhance the accuracy of classification models, especially when combined with CDR data (Accuracy=0.89). These findings have important implications for credit markets in emerging economies, pathways for financial institutions and FinTech companies to engage with unbanked populations and support the growth of alternative credit assessment tools.
期刊介绍:
Finance Research Letters welcomes submissions across all areas of finance, aiming for rapid publication of significant new findings. The journal particularly encourages papers that provide insight into the replicability of established results, examine the cross-national applicability of previous findings, challenge existing methodologies, or demonstrate methodological contingencies.
Papers are invited in the following areas:
Actuarial studies
Alternative investments
Asset Pricing
Bankruptcy and liquidation
Banks and other Depository Institutions
Behavioral and experimental finance
Bibliometric and Scientometric studies of finance
Capital budgeting and corporate investment
Capital markets and accounting
Capital structure and payout policy
Commodities
Contagion, crises and interdependence
Corporate governance
Credit and fixed income markets and instruments
Derivatives
Emerging markets
Energy Finance and Energy Markets
Financial Econometrics
Financial History
Financial intermediation and money markets
Financial markets and marketplaces
Financial Mathematics and Econophysics
Financial Regulation and Law
Forecasting
Frontier market studies
International Finance
Market efficiency, event studies
Mergers, acquisitions and the market for corporate control
Micro Finance Institutions
Microstructure
Non-bank Financial Institutions
Personal Finance
Portfolio choice and investing
Real estate finance and investing
Risk
SME, Family and Entrepreneurial Finance