Clinical Characterization and Outcomes of Human Clade IIb Mpox Virus Disease: A European Multicenter Mpox Observational Cohort Study (MOSAIC).

Abstract

Background: The global mpox outbreak that started in May 2022 was caused by a novel clade IIb variant of the mpox virus (Orthopoxvirus monkeypox, MPXV). It differed from the traditional Western and Central Africa disease in transmission patterns and clinical presentation.

Methods: To address the need for detailed clinical and virologic data, we conducted an observational cohort study (MOSAIC) during May 2022-July 2023 in individuals with confirmed MPXV infection enrolled in 6 European countries. Case management decisions were left to the attending physician. Participants were monitored for up to 6 months for clinical signs/symptoms and clinical and virologic outcomes through hospital visits, phone interviews, and self-administered questionnaires. Outcomes included time to lesion resolution, clinical status, and virus clearance.

Results: The 518 participants not receiving any specific treatment ("untreated") were diagnosed a median 5 days from symptom onset; 90% were managed as outpatients. Lesions were mostly cutaneous (88%) and perigenital (74%). By day 14 from the first polymerase chain reaction (PCR)-positive sample, 39% had resolved lesions. Time to 95% unculturable virus was longest in cutaneous lesions (52 days). A putative systemic antiviral was available for 57 participants, 44% as inpatients; 34% and 58% had resolved lesions by day 14 from the first PCR-positive sample and from treatment start, respectively. Time to 95% unculturable virus was 60 days in skin and oropharynx. No death or recrudescence occurred by day 180.

Conclusions: MOSAIC provides comprehensive insights into the clinical and virologic characteristics of mpox caused by the clade IIb variant. The study forms the basis of clinical characterization for ongoing mpox outbreaks.