Incidence Trends in Head and Neck Cancer Subsites: A National Population-Based Study (2001-2020).

IF 1.7 4区 医学 Q2 OTORHINOLARYNGOLOGY Clinical Otolaryngology Pub Date : 2025-01-12 DOI:10.1111/coa.14271
Kelten Clements, Alex D McMahon, Lesley Bhatti, Craig Smith, Claire Paterson, Catriona M Douglas, David I Conway
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Abstract

Objectives: This descriptive epidemiological study aims to investigate trends in head and neck cancer (HNC) within the anatomical divisions of laryngeal, oropharyngeal, and oral cavity cancers over the past two decades.

Design: Retrospective population-based observational study.

Setting: Scotland, a constituent country of the United Kingdom, with a population of 5.5 million.

Participants: Newly diagnosed HNC patients in Scotland registered in the Scottish Cancer Registry from 2001 to 2020.

Main outcome measures: Trends in age-standardised incidence rates from 2001 to 2020 for each HNC subsite, anatomical division, and individual sociodemographic using joinpoint regression analysis and Poisson regression analysis.

Results: Overall, HNC incidence rates have remained stable, with an average annual percentage change (AAPC) of 0.29% (p = 0.34). However, oropharyngeal cancer showed a significant increase in incidence rates with an AAPC of 3.76% (p < 0.001); the tonsils (C09) and the base of the tongue (C01) experienced the greatest increases in AAPC of 4.63% (p = 0.001) and 4.79% (p < 0.001), respectively. Conversely, laryngeal cancer rates declined significantly, with an AAPC of -2.56% (p < 0.001). This decline was primarily influenced by annual reductions of -2.40% (p = 0.09) in cancers affecting the glottis (C32.0). Incidence rates for oral cavity cancer remained mostly stable, with an AAPC of -0.60% (p = 0.08).

Conclusion: This analysis highlights that behind a stable HNC incidence rate over the past 20 years, there are differential trends among various anatomical divisions with an overall increasing burden of oropharyngeal cancer and declining rates of laryngeal cancer.

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头颈癌亚位点的发病率趋势:一项基于全国人群的研究(2001-2020)。
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来源期刊
Clinical Otolaryngology
Clinical Otolaryngology 医学-耳鼻喉科学
CiteScore
4.00
自引率
4.80%
发文量
106
审稿时长
>12 weeks
期刊介绍: Clinical Otolaryngology is a bimonthly journal devoted to clinically-oriented research papers of the highest scientific standards dealing with: current otorhinolaryngological practice audiology, otology, balance, rhinology, larynx, voice and paediatric ORL head and neck oncology head and neck plastic and reconstructive surgery continuing medical education and ORL training The emphasis is on high quality new work in the clinical field and on fresh, original research. Each issue begins with an editorial expressing the personal opinions of an individual with a particular knowledge of a chosen subject. The main body of each issue is then devoted to original papers carrying important results for those working in the field. In addition, topical review articles are published discussing a particular subject in depth, including not only the opinions of the author but also any controversies surrounding the subject. • Negative/null results In order for research to advance, negative results, which often make a valuable contribution to the field, should be published. However, articles containing negative or null results are frequently not considered for publication or rejected by journals. We welcome papers of this kind, where appropriate and valid power calculations are included that give confidence that a negative result can be relied upon.
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