The impact of the war in Ukraine on the prevalence of MDR/RR-TB in Poland.

A Nowinski, E Augustynowicz-Kopeć, J Garnczarek, A Halicka, M Koszela, W Litwiniuk, D Maj, I Mazur, J Niestrój-Ostrowska, R Podlasin, A Regulska, M Wielopolska, J Wyrwiński, S Wesołowski, M Korzeniewska-Koseła
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Abstract

Background: The 2022 invasion of Ukraine by the Russian Federation triggered a refugee crisis, affecting the multidrug-/rifampicin-resistant TB (MDR/RR-TB) prevalence in neighbouring countries. This study examines the epidemiological trends and characteristics of MDR/RR-TB patients in Poland, focusing on the relative contribution of Ukrainian refugees.

Methods: Data from the Polish National Tuberculosis Registry and EPIC Project database, covering MDR/RR-TB cases reported between 2010 and Q1 2024, were analysed.

Results: The study included 794 MDR/RR-TB cases, showing a demographic shift post-2022. During the 10-year period up to 2021, a median of 48 MDR/RR-TB cases were reported annually in Poland. After 2022, these numbers doubled: 104 cases were reported in 2022 and 101 cases in 2023. Simultaneously, the number of Ukrainian MDR/RR-TB patients increased from 77 (13%) during 2010-2021 to 127 (58%) from 2022 to Q1 2024.

Conclusion: Poland is observing an increased number of cases of MDR/RR-TB associated with the large number of displaced Ukrainian citizens who are now residing in Poland. There is a need to monitor the epidemiology of MDR/RR-TB and seek optimal screening and management strategies for TB among refugees from countries with high MDR/RR-TB incidence in Poland and Europe.

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乌克兰战争对波兰耐多药/耐药结核病流行的影响。
背景:2022年俄罗斯联邦入侵乌克兰引发了一场难民危机,影响了邻国的耐多药/耐利福平肺结核(MDR/RR-TB)发病率。本研究探讨了波兰 MDR/RR-TB 患者的流行病学趋势和特征,重点关注乌克兰难民的相对贡献:方法:分析波兰国家结核病登记处和 EPIC 项目数据库中的数据,涵盖 2010 年至 2024 年第一季度报告的 MDR/RR-TB 病例:研究包括 794 例 MDR/RR-TB 病例,显示出 2022 年后的人口结构变化。在截至 2021 年的 10 年间,波兰每年报告的 MDR/RR-TB 病例中位数为 48 例。2022 年后,这些数字翻了一番:2022 年报告了 104 例,2023 年报告了 101 例。与此同时,乌克兰的 MDR/RR-TB 患者数量从 2010-2021 年间的 77 例(13%)增加到 2022 年至 2024 年第一季度的 127 例(58%):波兰正在观察到 MDR/RR-TB 病例的增加,这与目前居住在波兰的大量流离失所的乌克兰公民有关。有必要对MDR/RR-TB的流行病学进行监测,并在来自波兰和欧洲MDR/RR-TB高发国家的难民中寻求最佳的结核病筛查和管理策略。
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