Duration of Climate Cycles during the Last Millions of Years and Hundreds of Thousands of Years and Modern Climate Anomalies

IF 0.7 4区 地球科学 Q4 GEOCHEMISTRY & GEOPHYSICS Geomagnetism and Aeronomy Pub Date : 2025-01-16 DOI:10.1134/S001679322470018X
V. A. Dergachev
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Abstract

The problem of the end of the modern interglacial is discussed. Following theoretical predictions, cooling should soon begin after the end of the modern interglacial and Quaternary climate period. However, as climatologists note, now weather anomalies have begun to occur more often: high and low temperatures, heavy rainfall, thunderstorms, hurricanes, and floods are breaking long-term records. Unfortunately, the scientific community has not reached a consensus regarding the causes of climate change during this period. Global numerical models of Earth’s climate system have discrepancies with observed climate changes. Supporters of anthropogenic global warming, in spite of everything, ignore the natural factors of climate change, such as tectonic waves, glacial destruction, and the ocean, which actively participates in the exchange of gases with the atmosphere, volcanic activity, earthquakes, etc. Data on changes in the global temperature of Earth’s surface on a time scale of the last 700 million years and ~70 million years are analyzed and periods of warming and cooling were identified. The cyclicality of climate changes in the Quaternary (the last approximately 2.5 million years) is analyzed as one of the most important features of the climate system, used to assess both changes in individual environmental components in the past and to predict climate change in the future.

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过去几百万年和几十万年气候周期的持续时间与现代气候异常
讨论了现代间冰期结束的问题。根据理论预测,在现代间冰期和第四纪气候期结束后,冷却应该很快开始。然而,正如气候学家所指出的那样,现在天气异常开始更加频繁地发生:高温和低温、强降雨、雷暴、飓风和洪水正在打破长期记录。不幸的是,科学界在这一时期还没有就气候变化的原因达成共识。地球气候系统的全球数值模式与观测到的气候变化存在差异。人为全球变暖的支持者,不管怎样,忽略了气候变化的自然因素,如构造波,冰川破坏,海洋,它积极参与与大气的气体交换,火山活动,地震等。分析了过去7亿年至7000万年的地球表面温度变化数据,确定了变暖和变冷的时期。第四纪(过去约250万年)气候变化的周期性被分析为气候系统最重要的特征之一,用于评估过去单个环境成分的变化和预测未来的气候变化。
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来源期刊
Geomagnetism and Aeronomy
Geomagnetism and Aeronomy Earth and Planetary Sciences-Space and Planetary Science
CiteScore
1.30
自引率
33.30%
发文量
65
审稿时长
4-8 weeks
期刊介绍: Geomagnetism and Aeronomy is a bimonthly periodical that covers the fields of interplanetary space; geoeffective solar events; the magnetosphere; the ionosphere; the upper and middle atmosphere; the action of solar variability and activity on atmospheric parameters and climate; the main magnetic field and its secular variations, excursion, and inversion; and other related topics.
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