Deep reinforcement learning portfolio model based on mixture of experts

IF 3.4 2区 计算机科学 Q2 COMPUTER SCIENCE, ARTIFICIAL INTELLIGENCE Applied Intelligence Pub Date : 2025-01-20 DOI:10.1007/s10489-025-06242-6
Ziqiang Wei, Deng Chen, Yanduo Zhang, Dawei Wen, Xin Nie, Liang Xie
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Abstract

In the field of artificial intelligence, the portfolio management problem has received widespread attention. Portfolio models based on deep reinforcement learning enable intelligent investment decision-making. However, most models only consider modeling the temporal information of stocks, neglecting the correlation between stocks and the impact of overall market risk. Moreover, their trading strategies are often singular and fail to adapt to dynamic changes in the trading market. To address these issues, this paper proposes a Deep Reinforcement Learning Portfolio Model based on Mixture of Experts (MoEDRLPM). Firstly, a spatio-temporal adaptive embedding matrix is designed, temporal and spatial self-attention mechanisms are employed to extract the temporal information and correlations of stocks. Secondly, dynamically select the current optimal expert from the mixed expert pool through router. The expert makes decisions and aggregates to derive the portfolio weights. Next, market index data is utilized to model the current market risk and determine investment capital ratios. Finally, deep reinforcement learning is employed to optimize the portfolio strategy. This approach generates diverse trading strategies according to dynamic changes in the market environment. The proposed model is tested on the SSE50 and CSI300 datasets. Results show that the total returns of this model increase by 12% and 8%, respectively, while the Sharpe Ratios improve by 64% and 51%.

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基于专家混合的深度强化学习组合模型
在人工智能领域,项目组合管理问题受到了广泛的关注。基于深度强化学习的投资组合模型实现了智能投资决策。然而,大多数模型只考虑股票的时间信息建模,而忽略了股票与整体市场风险影响之间的相关性。此外,他们的交易策略往往单一,不能适应交易市场的动态变化。为了解决这些问题,本文提出了一种基于混合专家的深度强化学习组合模型(MoEDRLPM)。首先,设计时空自适应嵌入矩阵,利用时空自注意机制提取股票的时间信息和相关性;其次,通过路由器从混合专家池中动态选择当前最优专家;专家通过决策和汇总来得出投资组合的权重。接下来,利用市场指数数据对当前市场风险进行建模,并确定投资资本比率。最后,利用深度强化学习对投资组合策略进行优化。这种方法根据市场环境的动态变化,产生多样化的交易策略。在SSE50和CSI300数据集上对该模型进行了测试。结果表明,该模型的总收益分别提高了12%和8%,夏普比率分别提高了64%和51%。
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来源期刊
Applied Intelligence
Applied Intelligence 工程技术-计算机:人工智能
CiteScore
6.60
自引率
20.80%
发文量
1361
审稿时长
5.9 months
期刊介绍: With a focus on research in artificial intelligence and neural networks, this journal addresses issues involving solutions of real-life manufacturing, defense, management, government and industrial problems which are too complex to be solved through conventional approaches and require the simulation of intelligent thought processes, heuristics, applications of knowledge, and distributed and parallel processing. The integration of these multiple approaches in solving complex problems is of particular importance. The journal presents new and original research and technological developments, addressing real and complex issues applicable to difficult problems. It provides a medium for exchanging scientific research and technological achievements accomplished by the international community.
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