Predicting norm change using threshold models

IF 6.9 2区心理学 Q1 PSYCHOLOGY, MULTIDISCIPLINARY Current Opinion in Psychology Pub Date : 2025-04-01 Epub Date: 2025-01-22 DOI:10.1016/j.copsyc.2025.101994

Moritz Janas , Nikos Nikiforakis , Simon Siegenthaler

引用次数: 0

Abstract

Anticipating changes in social norms presents a significant challenge for social scientists. Historical instances when researchers failed to predict dramatic shifts in collective behavior, along with the persistence of norms that impede welfare, underscore the need for a deeper understanding of how norms evolve. This article reviews current advancements in predicting norm change using threshold models. We document the rise of empirical studies, emphasize recent methodological developments, and discuss open questions for future research.

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使用阈值模型预测规范变化

预测社会规范的变化对社会科学家来说是一个重大挑战。研究人员未能预测集体行为的戏剧性变化，以及阻碍福利的规范的持续存在，这些历史实例强调了对规范如何演变的更深入理解的必要性。本文回顾了目前使用阈值模型预测规范变化的进展。我们记录了实证研究的兴起，强调了最近的方法发展，并讨论了未来研究的开放性问题。

本文章由计算机程序翻译，如有差异，请以英文原文为准。

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来源期刊

Current Opinion in Psychology PSYCHOLOGY, MULTIDISCIPLINARY-

CiteScore

12.10

自引率

3.40%

发文量

293

审稿时长

53 days

期刊介绍： Current Opinion in Psychology is part of the Current Opinion and Research (CO+RE) suite of journals and is a companion to the primary research, open access journal, Current Research in Ecological and Social Psychology. CO+RE journals leverage the Current Opinion legacy of editorial excellence, high-impact, and global reach to ensure they are a widely-read resource that is integral to scientists' workflows. Current Opinion in Psychology is divided into themed sections, some of which may be reviewed on an annual basis if appropriate. The amount of space devoted to each section is related to its importance. The topics covered will include: * Biological psychology * Clinical psychology * Cognitive psychology * Community psychology * Comparative psychology * Developmental psychology * Educational psychology * Environmental psychology * Evolutionary psychology * Health psychology * Neuropsychology * Personality psychology * Social psychology

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