A multi-dimensional student performance prediction model (MSPP): An advanced framework for accurate academic classification and analysis

IF 1.9 Q2 MULTIDISCIPLINARY SCIENCES MethodsX Pub Date : 2024-12-30 DOI:10.1016/j.mex.2024.103148
V. Balachandar, K. Venkatesh
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Abstract

Forecasting student performance with precision in the educational space is paramount for creating tailor-made interventions capable to boost learning effectiveness. It means most of the traditional student performance prediction models have difficulty in dealing with multi-dimensional academic data, can cause sub-optimal classification and generate a simple generalized insight. To address these challenges of the existing system, in this research we propose a new model Multi-dimensional Student Performance Prediction Model (MSPP) that is inspired by advanced data preprocessing and feature engineering techniques using deep learning. We developed a method that targets the common issues associated with educational datasets over imbalanced and temporal settings which is also explainable through AI features. Moreover, through adaptive hyper-parameter tuning and advanced graph neural network layers in the MSPP model allow to make output more dense representation for predictions resulting more accurate classification. The experiments results show that MSPP outperforms the other EAI&ML, MTSDA, XAI, DGNN and DLM with high accuracy 76 %, precision score of 0.79 and macro F1-score of 0.73. The model also helps to bring down the False Positive Rate (FPR) substantially at a 0.15 level, which ensures more reliable predictions for student classification.
  • The model of the MSPP includes contextual information and multi-layered analysis in order to improve prediction accuracy, placing a sound basis for predicting students in different performance categories such as distinction, pass, fail or withdrawn.
  • Our approach is obviously to generalize and extract those sparse, heterogeneous academic data in the form of structured training record using domain specific preprocessing integrating with multi-class classification mechanisms that improves on precision-recall across multiple categories.

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多维学生成绩预测模型(MSPP):准确学业分类和分析的先进框架。
准确预测学生在教育领域的表现对于创造能够提高学习效率的量身定制的干预措施至关重要。这意味着大多数传统的学生成绩预测模型难以处理多维学术数据,可能导致次优分类,并产生简单的广义洞察。为了解决现有系统的这些挑战,在本研究中,我们提出了一个新的模型多维学生成绩预测模型(MSPP),该模型受到先进的数据预处理和使用深度学习的特征工程技术的启发。我们开发了一种方法,针对与不平衡和时间设置相关的教育数据集的常见问题,这也可以通过人工智能功能来解释。此外,通过自适应超参数调优和高级图神经网络层,MSPP模型允许输出更密集的预测表示,从而实现更准确的分类。实验结果表明,MSPP优于其他EAI&ML、MTSDA、XAI、DGNN和DLM,准确率高达76%,精度分数为0.79,宏f1分数为0.73。该模型还有助于将误报率(FPR)大幅降低到0.15的水平,从而确保对学生分类的预测更可靠。•MSPP模型包括上下文信息和多层分析,以提高预测准确性,为预测不同表现类别(如优异,及格,不及格或退学)的学生奠定坚实的基础。•我们的方法显然是以结构化训练记录的形式泛化和提取那些稀疏的、异构的学术数据,使用特定领域的预处理与多类分类机制相结合,提高了多类别的查准率。
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来源期刊
MethodsX
MethodsX Health Professions-Medical Laboratory Technology
CiteScore
3.60
自引率
5.30%
发文量
314
审稿时长
7 weeks
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