Role of limited medical resources in an epidemic model with media report and general birth rate

IF 2.5 3区 医学 Q1 Medicine Infectious Disease Modelling Pub Date : 2025-06-01 Epub Date: 2025-01-07 DOI:10.1016/j.idm.2025.01.001
Yicheng Hao, Yantao Luo, Zhidong Teng
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Abstract

This paper formulates an SEIRSHM epidemic model with general birth rate, media report and limited medical resources. Firstly, the well-posedness of the solutions and the extinction of the disease are discussed. Then, the existence of the endemic equilibrium is discussed and we find when R∗ > 1 and R0 = 1, there exhibits a backward bifurcation, if R∗ < 1 and R0 = 1, there exhibits a forward bifurcation. Finally, numerical simulations are carried out to illustrate the main results and show that media report and limited medical resources have a great impact on disease transmission.

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有限医疗资源在具有媒体报道和一般出生率的流行病模型中的作用
本文建立了一般出生率、媒体报道和有限医疗资源条件下的SEIRSHM流行病模型。首先,讨论了解的适定性和疾病的灭绝性。然后,讨论了特有平衡点的存在性,发现当R∗> 1且r0 = 1时,存在向后分岔,当R∗< 1且r0 = 1时,存在正向分岔。最后通过数值模拟来说明主要结果,表明媒体报道和有限的医疗资源对疾病传播有很大的影响。
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来源期刊
Infectious Disease Modelling
Infectious Disease Modelling Mathematics-Applied Mathematics
CiteScore
17.00
自引率
3.40%
发文量
73
审稿时长
17 weeks
期刊介绍: Infectious Disease Modelling is an open access journal that undergoes peer-review. Its main objective is to facilitate research that combines mathematical modelling, retrieval and analysis of infection disease data, and public health decision support. The journal actively encourages original research that improves this interface, as well as review articles that highlight innovative methodologies relevant to data collection, informatics, and policy making in the field of public health.
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