The naples prognostic score as a new predictor for heart failure: A cross-sectional study.

IF 2.4 4区医学 Q2 CARDIAC & CARDIOVASCULAR SYSTEMS Heart & Lung Pub Date : 2025-01-28 DOI:10.1016/j.hrtlng.2025.01.009

Ziyan Guo, Futao Zhang, Shuai Chai

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引用次数: 0

Abstract

Background: The Naples prognostic score (NPS), a novel nutritional and inflammatory index, holds great promise for predicting the prognosis of heart failure (HF), but research on its association with HF outcomes is limited.

Objective: To analyze the relationship between the NPS and the incidence rate and long-term prognosis of HF.

Methods: Participants from the National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey (NHANES) data were allocated into three groups (group 0 (the NPS=0), group 1-2 (the NPS=1-2), and group 3-4 (the NPS=3-4)) based on the NPS level. Regression analysis was conducted to examine the relationship between the NPS and HF prevalence, and ROC curve analysis was employed to determine the prediction accuracy. The Cox proportional hazards model and Kaplan-Meier survival curves analyzed mortality risk, with subgroup and sensitivity analyses for model stability.

Results: The study included 47,300 individuals (mean age 47.18 years; 51.07% female; 68.86% non-Hispanic white). The HF prevalence was 2.30% (95% CI: 1.66, 3.17). Among 1,581 HF patients, 851 all-cause deaths occurred during a median follow-up of 6.84 years. In groups 3-4, the risk of all-cause, cardiovascular, and cancer mortality was significantly higher (4.18, 4.89, and 16.93, respectively, all p < 0.05) compared to group 0. Furthermore, a significant difference was observed in the association between the NPS and cancer mortality across age subgroups (p < 0.05). In contrast, there was no significant interaction between the NPS and all-cause mortality or cardiovascular mortality in subgroup analyses.

Conclusions: The NPS is a low-cost and easy-to-calculate prognostic score that helps predict the clinical course of patients with HF.

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来源期刊

Heart & Lung 医学-呼吸系统

CiteScore

4.60

自引率

3.60%

发文量

184

审稿时长

35 days

期刊介绍： Heart & Lung: The Journal of Cardiopulmonary and Acute Care, the official publication of The American Association of Heart Failure Nurses, presents original, peer-reviewed articles on techniques, advances, investigations, and observations related to the care of patients with acute and critical illness and patients with chronic cardiac or pulmonary disorders. The Journal''s acute care articles focus on the care of hospitalized patients, including those in the critical and acute care settings. Because most patients who are hospitalized in acute and critical care settings have chronic conditions, we are also interested in the chronically critically ill, the care of patients with chronic cardiopulmonary disorders, their rehabilitation, and disease prevention. The Journal''s heart failure articles focus on all aspects of the care of patients with this condition. Manuscripts that are relevant to populations across the human lifespan are welcome.