Optimizing site investigations for gassy soils: A Bi-objective approach using value of information and cost of boreholes

IF 3.5 3区 工程技术 Q2 ENGINEERING, MECHANICAL Probabilistic Engineering Mechanics Pub Date : 2025-01-01 Epub Date: 2024-12-25 DOI:10.1016/j.probengmech.2024.103727
Shao-Lin Ding , Kai-Qi Li , Rui Tao
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Abstract

Gassy soils, containing flammable gases like methane (CH₄), are commonly found in the shallow layers of Quaternary deposits, posing significant challenges for underground construction. Effective site investigation, particularly the strategic placement of boreholes for gas pressure measurement, is critical for assessing engineering risks. However, the high costs of borehole drilling often limit the amount of available gas pressure data, leading to potential errors in risk assessments at unmeasured locations. Misclassifying hazardous conditions as safe can result in costly penalties. Currently, investigation strategies that balance cost reduction with risk mitigation rely largely on engineering judgment. This study presents a probabilistic optimization approach for planning site investigations in gassy soils, explicitly addressing the trade-off between investigation costs and misclassification penalties. These factors are quantified using Value of Information (VoI) and cost of boreholes (CoB). The optimal investigation strategy is determined through the knee point method, which identifies the best compromise between VoI and CoB. A case study on Hangzhou Metro Line 1 demonstrates the practicality and effectiveness of this approach, showing that the optimal strategy balances VoI maximization with CoB minimization. The knee point method effectively identifies this compromise, ensuring maximum marginal utility by balancing information value and investigation cost.
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优化气土现场调查:利用信息价值和钻孔成本的双目标方法
含有甲烷(CH₄)等可燃气体的气态土壤通常存在于第四纪沉积物的浅层中,这对地下建设构成了重大挑战。有效的现场调查,特别是用于气体压力测量的钻孔的战略位置,对于评估工程风险至关重要。然而,高昂的钻井成本往往限制了可用气体压力数据的数量,从而导致在未测量位置进行风险评估时可能出现错误。错误地将危险条件归类为安全条件可能导致代价高昂的处罚。目前,平衡降低成本和降低风险的调查策略在很大程度上依赖于工程判断。本研究提出了一种概率优化方法,用于规划气态土壤的现场调查,明确解决了调查成本和错误分类处罚之间的权衡。利用信息价值(VoI)和钻孔成本(CoB)对这些因素进行量化。通过膝点法确定最优调查策略,确定VoI和CoB之间的最佳折衷。以杭州地铁1号线为例,验证了该方法的实用性和有效性,结果表明该优化策略在VoI最大化和CoB最小化之间取得了平衡。膝点法有效地识别了这种折衷,通过平衡信息价值和调查成本来确保最大的边际效用。
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来源期刊
Probabilistic Engineering Mechanics
Probabilistic Engineering Mechanics 工程技术-工程:机械
CiteScore
3.80
自引率
15.40%
发文量
98
审稿时长
13.5 months
期刊介绍: This journal provides a forum for scholarly work dealing primarily with probabilistic and statistical approaches to contemporary solid/structural and fluid mechanics problems encountered in diverse technical disciplines such as aerospace, civil, marine, mechanical, and nuclear engineering. The journal aims to maintain a healthy balance between general solution techniques and problem-specific results, encouraging a fruitful exchange of ideas among disparate engineering specialities.
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