The value of inflammation-related indicators in chemotherapy efficacy and disease-free survival of triple-negative breast cancer.

Abstract

Background: Systemic inflammation is closely correlated with the progression of cancer. Inflammation-related indicators has been recognized as outcome predictors in triple-negative breast cancer (TNBC). Our study aimed to investigate the predictive value of several inflammation-related indicators in TNBC patients underwent chemotherapy (NAC).

Methods: 100 TNBC patients were enrolled in the study. Levels of interleukin-6 (IL-6) were detected by enzyme-linked immunosorbent assays (ELISAs). Platelet-to-lymphocyte ratio (PLR) and immune inflammatory index (SII) were obtained from blood routine. Levels of Ki-67 expression were detected by immunohistochemistry (IHC). Mentioned indicators were divided into two groups based on their median values. The correlation between these indicators and NAC efficacy was analyzed using t tests. Prognostic risk scores were calculated by univariate Cox regression analysis and Lasso-penalized Cox regression. The patients were divided into low- and high-risk groups based on the median risk score. Survival curves were obtained by Kaplan-Meier method. Models for univariate and multivariate Cox regression analyses were performed to determine the independent risk factors. A nomogram was used for the prediction of 1-, 2-, and 3-year disease-free survival (DFS). Accuracy of the prognostic model was validated by receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC).

Results: IL-6, PLR, SII, and Ki-67 levels were associated with neoadjuvant efficacy. IL-6, PLR, SII, Ki-67, and lymphocyte count were associated with DFS. The risk score for each TNBC patient was obtained using LASSO regression analysis to construct a prognostic model. In the prognostic model, patients in the high-risk score group showed worse DFS than those in the low-risk group. Risk score and tumor size were independently correlated with outcomes in multivariate Cox regression analysis. A nomogram was constructed using IL-6, PLR, SII, Ki-67, and Miller-Payne (MP) scores. Calibration curves demonstrated good consistency between the actual and predictive values of the nomogram.

Conclusion: A prognostic model was established by combining four prognosis-related indicators in TNBC patients who underwent NAC.