BioVars - A bioclimatic dataset for Europe based on a large regional climate ensemble for periods in 1971-2098.

Abstract

Ongoing ecological research is concerned with analysing climate-induced changes in species distribution. For this purpose, the projection must have high-quality bioclimatic variables from historical and future climatic periods for the projection. To date, there are many global bioclimatic variables on this topic. Nevertheless, a consistent dataset with identical model variables from historic and projected periods is rare. We present 26 bioclimatic variables that are calculated based on a large ensemble consisting of 70 bias-adjusted GCM-RCM simulations for 1971-2098. Both, the historic and the projection periods were calculated using the same models to ensure consistency between the periods. The variables are validated against E-OBS observations from which we calculated the same bioclimatic variables. For projection periods we chose 20 year ranges between 2021-2098. Here, we offer two versions of them: (1) variables separated into RCP 2.6, 4.5 and 8.5, including percentiles among the realisations and within the RCPs; and (2) variables per realisation separately. We then extracted the temporal 5th, 50th and 95th percentile per period as representing values.