Optimal timing for initiating first-line palliative systemic therapy in asymptomatic metastatic esophagogastric cancer: Insights from a European Delphi study

Abstract

Background

The enhanced application of imaging techniques is resulting in the diagnosis of more patients with asymptomatic metastatic esophagogastric cancer (mEGC). We conducted a Delphi study to gather insights from European experts on the optimal timing for initiating palliative systemic therapy for these patients.

Methods

An online survey featured 14 scenarios where physicians chose their preferred timing for initiating systemic therapy: immediate(<3 weeks) or deferred. The standard scenario was a 65-year-old male, WHO/ECOG 0 with asymptomatic mEGC, 2 metastases in each lung, HER2 -, PDL1-CPS 2. In every subsequent case, one characteristic was modified. To investigate the fortitude of the physicians’ preference for an immediate start, scenarios also included a patient who was motivated to start but preferred to defer if the physician deemed it judicious. Consensus was defined as ≥ 75 % agreement; scenarios without consensus were re-evaluated in Delphi round 2.

Results

Thirty-nine physicians participated in the first round, and 33 in the second round. Consensus to start treatment immediately was reached in 12 (86 %) scenarios. When patients preferred to defer, the consensus was to still advise to start palliative systemic treatment immediately in half (n = 7) of the scenarios. Only 2 scenarios (pre-existent WHO/ECOG 2 or 78 years old) reached the consensus that treatment could be deferred.

Conclusions

In asymptomatic mEGC, immediate start of treatment is preferred by European experts. Consensus was established that treatment can be deferred for patients who prefer deferral and either have a pre-existent WHO/ECOG performance status of 2 or are of advanced age.