Risk factors of poor long-term outcomes in elderly patients with esophageal squamous cell carcinoma after minimally invasive esophagectomy.

Abstract

Purpose: Elderly patients with esophageal squamous cell carcinoma (ESCC) have more comorbidities than young patients do. Elderly smokers have a high mortality rate owing to physical dysfunction. This study aimed to identify risk factors for long-term outcomes after minimally invasive esophagectomy (MIE) in elderly patients with ESCC.

Methods: This study included 110 elderly patients (aged ≥ 75 years) with ESCC who underwent MIE at Kobe University Hospital. Multivariate Cox proportional hazards regression analyses were performed to identify risk factors, including the geriatric nutritional risk index (GNRI), Charlson comorbidity index, and elderly smoker status, defined as smoking at the age of 70 years.

Results: Multivariate analysis identified that elderly smokers, cT or cN status (≥ cT2 or cN-positive), and GNRI (≤ 92) were independent prognostic factors for overall survival (p = 0.026, 0.019, and 0.038, respectively). For patients with ≥ cT2 or cN-positive ESCC, elderly smokers or patients with GNRI (≤ 92) have significantly worse survival (p = 0.038). Elderly smokers were at risk of death from other diseases five years postoperatively (p = 0.016).

Conclusions: Elderly smokers, cT2 or cN positivity, and low GNRI were risk factors for poor survival. Furthermore, for patients with ≥ cT2 or cN-positive ESCC, these risk factors were associated with poor survival.