Analyzing the acceptance of new public transportation pricing schemes: A case study of a developing country

Transport Economics and Management Pub Date : 2025-12-01 Epub Date: 2025-02-11 DOI:10.1016/j.team.2025.02.004
Hamed Razeghifar , Amirhossein Baghestani , Mohammadhossein Abbasi , Majid Asadi
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Abstract

Globally, efforts are underway to encourage the use of sustainable transportation modes over private cars. Well-designed transit fare settings can significantly contribute to the development of sustainable, equitable, and efficient public transportation systems. This study aims to: (1) Assess respondents’ acceptance of a new transit pricing scheme, (2) Analyze changes in travel behavior resulting from various fare elements (e.g., flat, distance-based, or time-based fares), and (3) Identify influential factors using discrete choice models and stated preference surveys. Based on 808 observations, the binary logit model's estimation reveals that socioeconomic factors (such as car ownership, driving license possession, gender, age, and occupation) and travel-related factors (such as departure time, trip purpose, travel cost, waiting time, and number of stations traveled by transit) significantly affect the acceptability of the new pricing scheme. Additionally, the multinomial logit model indicates how the new pricing scheme influences travel behavior (modal shift, no modal shift, and changes in departure time or destination) and identifies significant determinants. The insights gained from this research can help policymakers develop more effective and sustainable transportation policies tailored to the needs of diverse urban populations.
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分析新的公共交通定价方案的接受程度:一个发展中国家的案例研究
在全球范围内,人们正在努力鼓励使用可持续的交通方式,而不是私家车。精心设计的公交票价设置可以极大地促进可持续、公平和高效的公共交通系统的发展。本研究旨在:(1)评估受访者对新的交通定价方案的接受程度;(2)分析不同票价因素(例如,固定票价、基于距离的票价或基于时间的票价)对出行行为的影响;(3)使用离散选择模型和陈述偏好调查确定影响因素。基于808个观测结果,二元logit模型的估计表明,社会经济因素(如汽车拥有量、驾照持有情况、性别、年龄和职业)和出行相关因素(如出发时间、出行目的、出行成本、等待时间和公交站点数量)显著影响新定价方案的可接受性。此外,多项logit模型表明了新的定价方案如何影响旅行行为(模式转换,无模式转换,出发时间或目的地的变化),并确定了重要的决定因素。从这项研究中获得的见解可以帮助决策者制定更有效和可持续的交通政策,以满足不同城市人口的需求。
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