Trends in atherosclerotic heart disease-related mortality among U.S. adults aged 35 and older: A 22-year analysis

Muzamil Akhtar , Danish Ali Ashraf , Muhammad Salman Nadeem , Ayesha Maryam , Hasan Ahmed , Mehmood Akhtar , Sarah MaCKenzie Picker , Raheel Ahmed
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Abstract

Background

Atherosclerotic heart disease (ASHD) remains a leading cause of mortality worldwide, especially among older adults. Understanding the long-term mortality trends in ASHD can guide public health strategies and address demographic disparities.

Methods

Mortality data for individuals aged 35 years and older were extracted from the CDC WONDER database. Age-adjusted mortality rates (AAMR) per 100,000 persons were calculated and stratified by year, gender, race, urbanization, and place of death. The trends were assessed using the annual percent change (APC) and average annual percent change (AAPC) with 95 % confidence intervals (CI) calculated through Joinpoint regression analysis.

Results

From 1999 to 2020, 7,638,608 ASHD-related deaths were recorded. The overall AAMR declined from 291.08 in 1999 to 170.07 in 2020, with an AAPC of −2.70 % (95 % CI: 2.96 to −2.54). However, an abrupt rise was observed from 2018 to 2020 (APC: 4.55; 95 % CI: 0.77 to 6.75). Males reported higher AAMR than females (Males: 271.9 vs. Females: 151.9). Non-Hispanic (NH) White individuals had the highest AAMR (209.38), followed by NH Black (202.47), NH American Indian (176.12), Hispanic (158.1), and NH Asian (113.7) populations. Nonmetropolitan areas reported the highest AAMR (214.77), while medium metropolitan areas reported the lowest (195.41). The majority of deaths occurred in medical facilities (42.81 %), followed by decedent's homes (25.67 %), and nursing homes (24.79 %).

Conclusion

Despite a long-term decline in ASHD-related mortality, the recent increase from 2018 to 2020 requires further study. Gender and racial disparities persist, highlighting the need for targeted public health efforts to reduce these inequities.

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