Distribution, Risk Factors and Epidemiological Trends of Pancreatic Cancer Across Countries’ Income Levels: A Comprehensive Analysis

Abstract

Background

Globally, pancreatic cancer poses a significant concern for public health.

Aims

The objective of this study was to assess the burden of pancreatic cancer on varying income levels.

Methods and Results

Data from the Global Burden of Disease Study (GBD) 2021 and Gross Domestic Product Per Capita data were utilised in this study. All countries were categorised into four groups based on their income levels. Age-standardised incidence, mortality and disability-adjusted life years (DALYs) rates were the primary parameters to analyse the burden of pancreatic cancer. The associations between pancreatic cancer burden and countries' economic levels were analysed with linear regression models. High-income-level countries generally had a higher burden compared to other income levels in 2021. Greenland had the highest rate of age-standardised DALYs at 374.93 per 100 000, followed by Uruguay (297.06) and Monaco (290.87). A higher gross domestic product (GDP) per capita was linked to a higher age-standardised incidence (β = 0.77, 95% CI = 0.63, 0.90, p < 0.001), mortality (β = 0.72, 95% CI = 0.59, 0.86, p < 0.001) and DALYs (β = 14.59, 95% CI = 11.38, 17.80, p < 0.001). From 1990 to 2021, the pancreatic cancer burden increased across all income levels, with the most pronounced rise seen in lower-middle-income countries. Smoking-related age-standardised DALYs have decreased since 1990. However, there was a notable increase in males in upper-middle-income countries during the same period.

Conclusion

In conclusion, the pancreatic cancer burden has been increasing globally. The burden of pancreatic cancer varies significantly among countries with different income levels. Effective preventions are needed to control the burden of pancreatic cancer.