Artificial Neural Dynamics for Portfolio Allocation: An Optimization Perspective

IF 8.7 1区 计算机科学 Q1 AUTOMATION & CONTROL SYSTEMS IEEE Transactions on Systems Man Cybernetics-Systems Pub Date : 2024-12-23 DOI:10.1109/TSMC.2024.3514919
Xinwei Cao;Yiguo Yang;Shuai Li;Predrag S. Stanimirović;Vasilios N. Katsikis
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Abstract

Real-time high-frequency trading poses a significant challenge to the classical portfolio allocation problem, demanding rapid computational efficiency for constructing Markowitz model-based portfolios. Building on the principles of arbitrage pricing theory (APT), this study introduces a dynamic neural network model aimed at minimizing investment risk, optimizing portfolio allocation within predefined constraints, and maximizing returns. First, a convex optimization objective function incorporating risk constraints is formulated based on APT principles. This is followed by the introduction of a novel dynamic neural network model designed to solve the convex optimization problem, accompanied by comprehensive theoretical analysis and rigorous proofs. The study uses two distinct datasets sourced from Yahoo Finance, consisting of 30 selected stocks, covering a span of 250 valid trading days to validate the proposed methodology. The results of 30 different stock market scenario experiments indicate that, when the upper limit for investment risk is set at $3.285 \times 10^{-4}$ , the expected maximum investment return exceeds the Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA) index by 16.2816%. These empirical findings highlight the viability, stability, and efficacy of the proposed approach and framework, demonstrating its potential applicability for real-time, high-frequency trading scenarios. Furthermore, the outcomes suggest policy implications for risk management and portfolio optimization in dynamic financial environments.
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投资组合配置的人工神经动力学:优化视角
实时高频交易对经典的投资组合配置问题提出了重大挑战,需要快速的计算效率来构建基于马科维茨模型的投资组合。本文以套利定价理论(APT)为基础,引入了一种动态神经网络模型,以最小化投资风险、在预定义约束下优化投资组合配置、最大化收益为目标。首先,基于APT原则构建了一个包含风险约束的凸优化目标函数。随后介绍了一种新的动态神经网络模型,用于解决凸优化问题,并进行了全面的理论分析和严格的证明。该研究使用了来自雅虎财经(Yahoo Finance)的两个不同的数据集,包括30只精选股票,涵盖250个有效交易日,以验证所提出的方法。30个不同的股票市场情景实验结果表明,当投资风险上限设定为3.285美元× 10^{-4}美元时,预期最大投资收益超过道琼斯工业平均指数16.2816%。这些实证研究结果突出了所提出的方法和框架的可行性、稳定性和有效性,证明了其对实时、高频交易场景的潜在适用性。此外,研究结果为动态金融环境下的风险管理和投资组合优化提供了政策启示。
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来源期刊
IEEE Transactions on Systems Man Cybernetics-Systems
IEEE Transactions on Systems Man Cybernetics-Systems AUTOMATION & CONTROL SYSTEMS-COMPUTER SCIENCE, CYBERNETICS
CiteScore
18.50
自引率
11.50%
发文量
812
审稿时长
6 months
期刊介绍: The IEEE Transactions on Systems, Man, and Cybernetics: Systems encompasses the fields of systems engineering, covering issue formulation, analysis, and modeling throughout the systems engineering lifecycle phases. It addresses decision-making, issue interpretation, systems management, processes, and various methods such as optimization, modeling, and simulation in the development and deployment of large systems.
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