The prognostic role of lung ultrasound in hospitalised patients with COVID-19. Correlation with chest CT findings and clinical markers of severity.

Ioannis Tomos, Elvira Markela Antonogiannaki, Konstantina Dimakopoulou, Thomas Raptakis, Vasiliki Apollonatou, Maria Kallieri, Stylianos Argentos, Stefanos Lampadakis, Myrto Blizou, Antonis Krouskos, Anna Karakatsani, Effrosyni Manali, Stylianos Loukides, Spyros Papiris
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Abstract

Background: The use of lung ultrasound (LUS) has recently become vital in the diagnosis and prognosis of various respiratory diseases. Its role in COVID-19 requires further investigation.

Research design and methods: Twenty-five consecutive, non-ICU hospitalized COVID-19 patients were included. LUS was performed on admission and sequentially every 3 days at 8 points in the chest. Based on the LUS findings a score was designed. Logarithmic regression models and ROC curve analysis were applied.

Results: A statistically significant positive correlation was found between LUS score at admission and the severity of SARS-COV-2 infection. Higher LUS score was significantly associated with lower PaO2/FiO2 ratio, use of HFNC, longer hospitalization and greater extent of chest CT infiltrates. A significant association between LUS score and risk of death or intubation or HFNC was found. For one point of increase in the score, risk of death or intubation or HFNC increased 1.93-fold (95% CI 1.02 to 3.65). The predictive role of the score was very satisfactory (area under the ROC curve = 0.87).

Conclusions: Lung ultrasound findings were significantly positively associated with clinical and radiological markers of severity of SARS-CoV-2 pneumonia. It therefore constitutes a promising and reliable technique for assessing pneumonia, comparable to chest CT.

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