Dynamic ALBI score and FIB-4 index trends to predict complications after resection of hepatocellular carcinoma: A K-means clustering approach

Abstract

Background

Severe postoperative complications still occur following hepatectomy among patients with hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). There is a need to identify high-risk patients for severe complications to enhance patient safety. We sought to evaluate the combined impact of pre- and postoperative albumin-bilirubin (ALBI) score and Fibrosis-4 (FIB-4) index trends to predict severe complications after HCC resection.

Method

Patients with HCC undergoing curative-intent hepatectomy (2000–2023) were identified from an international, multi-institutional database. The cohort was divided into training (n = 439) and testing (n = 651) sets. ALBI score and FIB-4 index trends from preoperative to postoperative days 1, 3, and 5 were used for K-means clustering (K = 3). A logistic regression model was developed using the training set, and its performance was evaluated using the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) in both cohorts.

Results

Severe complications (Clavien-Dindo Grade ≥ IIIa) occurred in 118 patients (10.8 %); 43 (9.8 %) in training and 75 (11.5 %) in testing set (p = 0.42). K-means clustering identified three groups: Cluster1 (low), Cluster2 (intermediate), and Cluster3 (high), which was associated with a progressively increasing risk of complications (p < 0.01). On multivariable logistic regression, patients in ALBI Cluster1 had 76 % decreased odds (odds ratio[OR] 0.24, 95 % CI 0.07–0.83, p = 0.02) of postoperative complications relative to Cluster3 patients. Individuals categorized into FIB-4 Cluster1 had 85 % decreased odds (OR 0.15, 95 % CI 0.02–1.24, p = 0.07) versus patients in FIB-4 Cluster3. A new prediction model incorporating ALBI and FIB-4 index clusters achieved an AUC of 0.71, outperforming models based on preoperative data. A tool was made available at https://nm49jf-miho-akabane.shinyapps.io/HCC_ALBI/.

Conclusion

A dynamic ALBI score and FIB-4 index trend tool improved risk stratification of patients undergoing resection of HCC relative to severe complications.