{"title":"Prediction models of Newmark sliding displacement considering pulse-like ground motions","authors":"Shiyuan Ju, Jinqing Jia, Xing Gao","doi":"10.1007/s10064-025-04184-4","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>Several machine learning-based Newmark sliding displacement prediction models have been developed by researchers to assess the seismic performance of numerous slopes in a region. Sliding displacements induced by pulse-like ground motions (PGMs) are larger and cause more severe damage. However, existing machine learning-based models cannot accurately predict PGMs-induced sliding displacements. In this research, a Newmark sliding displacement prediction model considering PGMs is developed by improving in two aspects: sliding displacement generation and intensity measurements (IMs) selection. The improvement in sliding displacement generation can avoid unfavorable underestimation of sliding displacements. While the improvement in IMs selection can increase the efficiency of models in previous studies, the R<sup>2</sup> is improved by up to 83.71% and the RMSE is reduced by up to 45.49%. In addition, the proposed prediction models can satisfy the sufficiency requirement.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":500,"journal":{"name":"Bulletin of Engineering Geology and the Environment","volume":"84 4","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":3.7000,"publicationDate":"2025-03-04","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":"0","resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"Bulletin of Engineering Geology and the Environment","FirstCategoryId":"5","ListUrlMain":"https://link.springer.com/article/10.1007/s10064-025-04184-4","RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"工程技术","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"","PubModel":"","JCR":"Q3","JCRName":"ENGINEERING, ENVIRONMENTAL","Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Abstract
Several machine learning-based Newmark sliding displacement prediction models have been developed by researchers to assess the seismic performance of numerous slopes in a region. Sliding displacements induced by pulse-like ground motions (PGMs) are larger and cause more severe damage. However, existing machine learning-based models cannot accurately predict PGMs-induced sliding displacements. In this research, a Newmark sliding displacement prediction model considering PGMs is developed by improving in two aspects: sliding displacement generation and intensity measurements (IMs) selection. The improvement in sliding displacement generation can avoid unfavorable underestimation of sliding displacements. While the improvement in IMs selection can increase the efficiency of models in previous studies, the R2 is improved by up to 83.71% and the RMSE is reduced by up to 45.49%. In addition, the proposed prediction models can satisfy the sufficiency requirement.
期刊介绍:
Engineering geology is defined in the statutes of the IAEG as the science devoted to the investigation, study and solution of engineering and environmental problems which may arise as the result of the interaction between geology and the works or activities of man, as well as of the prediction of and development of measures for the prevention or remediation of geological hazards. Engineering geology embraces:
• the applications/implications of the geomorphology, structural geology, and hydrogeological conditions of geological formations;
• the characterisation of the mineralogical, physico-geomechanical, chemical and hydraulic properties of all earth materials involved in construction, resource recovery and environmental change;
• the assessment of the mechanical and hydrological behaviour of soil and rock masses;
• the prediction of changes to the above properties with time;
• the determination of the parameters to be considered in the stability analysis of engineering works and earth masses.