Co-Evolving Traffic State Parameters Prediction Based on Mechanism-Data Blending Driven Deep Learning

IF 7.9 1区 工程技术 Q1 ENGINEERING, CIVIL IEEE Transactions on Intelligent Transportation Systems Pub Date : 2025-01-17 DOI:10.1109/TITS.2024.3524582
Hanxuan Dong;Hailong Zhang;Fan Ding;Huachun Tan
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Abstract

Traffic state prediction, a classical task for traffic management, is a central component of intelligent transport systems to maintain safe and efficient operation. While extensive and intensive research has been conducted on traffic state prediction, most studies have concentrated on enhancing the accuracy of specific traffic state parameters. However, traffic state is a co-evolutionary multivariate time series with various parameters such as flow, velocity, occupancy, etc. At the same time, traffic state data will inevitably be lost during collection. So accurate traffic prediction still faces the following challenges: First, how to deal with the complex missing situations in observational data? Second, how to learn the co-evolutionary relationships between different traffic state parameters while mining the high-dimensional spatio-temporal traffic state patterns? In this paper, we propose a mechanism-data blending-driven co-evolving traffic state parameter prediction method: multi-parameter hybrid tensor deep learning networks (MHT-Net), which consists of a multi-parameter tensor graph convolutional network (MTGCN) and a tensor recurrent neural network (T-RNN). MTGCN implements knowledge embedding of synergistic mechanisms between traffic parameters, ensuring that the road network spatial dependency and the synergistic influence relationship of the parameters can be obtained simultaneously; T-RNN is used to learn high-dimensional temporal features of traffic states. Experiment results on a real-world dataset from Jiangsu province outperform the state-of-the-art baselines, demonstrating the efficacy of the proposed method and providing an effective tool for traffic state prediction with missing values. A mechanism-data blending driven co-evolving traffic state parameter prediction method, multi-parameters hybrid tensor deep learning networks (MHT-Net) is proposed, which implements knowledge embedding of synergistic mechanisms between traffic parameters and learn the road network spatial dependency and the synergistic influence relationship of the parameters simultaneously. Experiment results demonstrate the efficacy of the proposed method and provide an effective tool for traffic state prediction with missing values.
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来源期刊
IEEE Transactions on Intelligent Transportation Systems
IEEE Transactions on Intelligent Transportation Systems 工程技术-工程:电子与电气
CiteScore
14.80
自引率
12.90%
发文量
1872
审稿时长
7.5 months
期刊介绍: The theoretical, experimental and operational aspects of electrical and electronics engineering and information technologies as applied to Intelligent Transportation Systems (ITS). Intelligent Transportation Systems are defined as those systems utilizing synergistic technologies and systems engineering concepts to develop and improve transportation systems of all kinds. The scope of this interdisciplinary activity includes the promotion, consolidation and coordination of ITS technical activities among IEEE entities, and providing a focus for cooperative activities, both internally and externally.
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