Role of abdominal aortic calcification score in predicting cardiovascular risk in the general population.

IF 1.7 4区 医学 Q2 MEDICINE, GENERAL & INTERNAL Irish Journal of Medical Science Pub Date : 2025-03-03 DOI:10.1007/s11845-025-03877-9
Yinze Ji, Naqiang Lv, Yingzhen Gu, Xiaorong Han, Aimin Dang
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Abstract

Background: Abdominal aortic calcification (AAC) is closely related to cardiovascular disease. Although its clinical significances have primarily been investigated in patients with chronic kidney disease, its association with cardio-cerebrovascular mortality in the general middle-aged and elderly population has not been sufficiently investigated.

Aims: To study the association of AAC and cardio-cerebrovascular mortality in both the entire general middle-aged and elderly populations and age subgroups.

Methods: Data of participants of the National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey (NHANES) 2013-2014 were analyzed. This study included middle-aged and elderly (≥ 40 years old) individuals who underwent dual-energy X-ray absorptiometry. The severity of AAC was assessed by an AAC scoring system (AAC score) with a maximum possible value of 24. Participants were tracked for survival status and major cause of death till 31st December 2019. This study utilized AAC score = 6 as the optimal cut-off according to Harrell's c statistic. Based on AAC scores, participants were trichotomized (0, 0-6, and ≥ 6). Groupwise survival curves and cumulative incidence functions were plotted to reveal the association of AAC and cardio-cerebrovascular mortality. Given results under trichotomization, combination of participants with AAC scores 0 and 0-6 was conducted to reaffirm the association of AAC and adverse prognosis.

Results: Correlation between increased AAC score and poorer survival, higher cumulative incidence of events was revealed. Cox models identified AAC score ≥ 6 as an independent risk factor of cardio-cerebrovascular mortality (AAC score ≥ 6 vs. AAC score = 0: Hazard ratio: 2.38, P = 0.008) after adjusting for cardiovascular risk factors. Results remained significant after regrouping (AAC score ≥ 6 vs. AAC score < 6: Hazard ratio: 2.06, P = 0.016). Subgroup analysis provided no evidence of unparallel change in hazard for the same amount of increase in AAC score among middle-aged (40-65 years old) and elderly (≥ 65 years old) individuals.

Conclusions: AAC score ≥ 6 independently indicate increased risk of cardio-cerebrovascular death and would be effective in risk stratification among the general middle-aged and elderly population in clinical practice.

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来源期刊
Irish Journal of Medical Science
Irish Journal of Medical Science 医学-医学:内科
CiteScore
3.70
自引率
4.80%
发文量
357
审稿时长
4-8 weeks
期刊介绍: The Irish Journal of Medical Science is the official organ of the Royal Academy of Medicine in Ireland. Established in 1832, this quarterly journal is a contribution to medical science and an ideal forum for the younger medical/scientific professional to enter world literature and an ideal launching platform now, as in the past, for many a young research worker. The primary role of both the Academy and IJMS is that of providing a forum for the exchange of scientific information and to promote academic discussion, so essential to scientific progress.
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