The nonlinear impact of economic policy uncertainty on corporate green total factor productivity

IF 6.9 2区 经济学 Q1 BUSINESS, FINANCE Finance Research Letters Pub Date : 2025-05-01 Epub Date: 2025-03-01 DOI:10.1016/j.frl.2025.107045
Siqi Zou, Yang Long
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Abstract

This study investigates the nonlinear impact of economic policy uncertainty (EPU) on corporate green total factor productivity (GTFP), examining the moderating role of intelligent transformation (IT). Analyzing firm-level data from Chinese listed companies (2010–2022), we document an inverted U-shaped relationship between EPU and GTFP, where moderate uncertainty catalyzes environmental innovation while excessive uncertainty impedes it. IT significantly enhances firms' adaptive capacity, amplifying positive effects of manageable uncertainty while mitigating adverse impacts of high uncertainty. Heterogeneity analysis reveals distinct patterns across industry types, with high-tech and non-pollution-intensive sectors demonstrating greater resilience to policy volatility. These findings advance uncertainty management theory and provide actionable insights for environmental policy formulation.
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经济政策不确定性对企业绿色全要素生产率的非线性影响
本文研究了经济政策不确定性(EPU)对企业绿色全要素生产率(GTFP)的非线性影响,并考察了智能转型(IT)的调节作用。通过分析2010-2022年中国上市公司的企业层面数据,我们发现EPU与GTFP之间存在倒u型关系,其中适度不确定性促进环境创新,过度不确定性阻碍环境创新。信息技术显著增强了企业的适应能力,放大了可控不确定性的积极影响,同时减轻了高不确定性的不利影响。异质性分析揭示了不同行业类型的不同模式,高科技和无污染密集型行业对政策波动的适应能力更强。这些发现促进了不确定性管理理论的发展,并为环境政策的制定提供了可操作的见解。
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来源期刊
Finance Research Letters
Finance Research Letters BUSINESS, FINANCE-
CiteScore
11.10
自引率
14.40%
发文量
863
期刊介绍: Finance Research Letters welcomes submissions across all areas of finance, aiming for rapid publication of significant new findings. The journal particularly encourages papers that provide insight into the replicability of established results, examine the cross-national applicability of previous findings, challenge existing methodologies, or demonstrate methodological contingencies. Papers are invited in the following areas: Actuarial studies Alternative investments Asset Pricing Bankruptcy and liquidation Banks and other Depository Institutions Behavioral and experimental finance Bibliometric and Scientometric studies of finance Capital budgeting and corporate investment Capital markets and accounting Capital structure and payout policy Commodities Contagion, crises and interdependence Corporate governance Credit and fixed income markets and instruments Derivatives Emerging markets Energy Finance and Energy Markets Financial Econometrics Financial History Financial intermediation and money markets Financial markets and marketplaces Financial Mathematics and Econophysics Financial Regulation and Law Forecasting Frontier market studies International Finance Market efficiency, event studies Mergers, acquisitions and the market for corporate control Micro Finance Institutions Microstructure Non-bank Financial Institutions Personal Finance Portfolio choice and investing Real estate finance and investing Risk SME, Family and Entrepreneurial Finance
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