Driving factors of soil selenium accumulation in regional enrichment area at selenium-deficient soil belt of China: An enlightenment of Moran's index and machine learning

Abstract

Selenium (Se) is one of the most indispensable trace elements for human beings, known as the ‘longevity element’ in the 21st century. Due to the complexity of the global geological environment, the distribution of soil Se varies significantly across the world. Understanding the distribution pattern and driving factors of soil Se enrichment is crucial for land resource development and addressing “hidden hunger”, especially in regions where soil Se is abundant. Therefore, a soil geochemical survey was conducted in the Baoshan area of southwest China, which is located at the Se-deficient soil belt yet exhibited characteristics of soil Se enrichment. Combined with Moran's I analysis and machine learning (ML), the enrichment and distribution characteristics, and driving factors of soil Se in this region were revealed. Specifically, we quantify the feature importance of each key factors. Additionally, distribution of soil Se demonstrated strong spatial dependence. The results from Bivariate Moran's I analysis, back-propagation artificial neural networks (BP–ANN) and random forest (RF) models indicated that soil organic carbon (SOC), pH, manganese (Mn), weathering eluvial index (ba), land use and parent materials are the primary driving factors of soil Se retention at the regional scale in Baoshan. In contrast, climate and topography, which are common factors affecting Se distribution at global and continental scales, were found to have no effect on Se retention at this regional scale. Based on the RF model, the relative importance of key driving factors are SOC (24.5 %), land use (21.1 %), pH (15.5 %), ba (15.2 %), parent materials (12.0 %), and Mn (11.9 %). These findings provide valuable guidance for agricultural managements planning and for adjusting agricultural planting structures in marginal and soil Se-rich regions of the traditional Se-deficient soil belt in China.