Gold and cryptocurrencies as safe-havens: Lessons from wartime

IF 7.1 2区 经济学 Q1 BUSINESS, FINANCE Finance Research Letters Pub Date : 2025-06-01 Epub Date: 2025-03-26 DOI:10.1016/j.frl.2025.107230
Boris Pastén-Henríquez , Pablo Tapia-Griñen , Jorge Sepúlveda-Velásquez
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Abstract

During wartime, investors seek safe havens for various assets, creating volatility in the financial markets. This study analyzes the safe-haven capacity of a group of assets during the Russia–Ukraine and Palestine–Israel conflicts. Using DCCGARCH and event study, we find that assets with an upward correlation with the market before the conflict, which we define as a positive push, manifest safe-haven asset capacity and potentially bullish returns. These results could be key in the design of investment strategies.
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黄金和加密货币作为安全港:战争的教训
在战争期间,投资者为各种资产寻找避风港,造成金融市场波动。本研究分析了俄乌冲突和巴以冲突期间一组资产的避险能力。使用DCC - GARCH和事件研究,我们发现在冲突之前与市场具有上行相关性的资产,我们将其定义为积极的推动,表现出避险资产的能力和潜在的看涨回报。这些结果可能是设计投资策略的关键。
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来源期刊
Finance Research Letters
Finance Research Letters BUSINESS, FINANCE-
CiteScore
11.10
自引率
14.40%
发文量
863
期刊介绍: Finance Research Letters welcomes submissions across all areas of finance, aiming for rapid publication of significant new findings. The journal particularly encourages papers that provide insight into the replicability of established results, examine the cross-national applicability of previous findings, challenge existing methodologies, or demonstrate methodological contingencies. Papers are invited in the following areas: Actuarial studies Alternative investments Asset Pricing Bankruptcy and liquidation Banks and other Depository Institutions Behavioral and experimental finance Bibliometric and Scientometric studies of finance Capital budgeting and corporate investment Capital markets and accounting Capital structure and payout policy Commodities Contagion, crises and interdependence Corporate governance Credit and fixed income markets and instruments Derivatives Emerging markets Energy Finance and Energy Markets Financial Econometrics Financial History Financial intermediation and money markets Financial markets and marketplaces Financial Mathematics and Econophysics Financial Regulation and Law Forecasting Frontier market studies International Finance Market efficiency, event studies Mergers, acquisitions and the market for corporate control Micro Finance Institutions Microstructure Non-bank Financial Institutions Personal Finance Portfolio choice and investing Real estate finance and investing Risk SME, Family and Entrepreneurial Finance
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