Spatiotemporal Observer Design for Predictive Learning of High-Dimensional Data

Tongyi Liang;Han-Xiong Li
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Abstract

Although deep learning-based methods have shown great success in spatiotemporal predictive learning, the frameworks of those models are mainly designed by intuition. How to make spatiotemporal forecasting with theoretical guarantees is still a challenging issue. In this work, we tackle this problem by applying domain knowledge from the dynamical system to the framework design of deep learning models. An observer theory-guided deep learning architecture, called Spatiotemporal Observer, is designed for predictive learning of high dimensional data. The characteristics of the proposed framework are twofold: first, it provides the generalization error bound and convergence guarantee for spatiotemporal prediction; second, dynamical regularization is introduced to enable the model to learn system dynamics better during training. Further experimental results demonstrate that this framework could effectively model the spatiotemporal dynamics and make accurate predictions in both one-step-ahead and multi-step-ahead forecasting scenarios.
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面向高维数据预测学习的时空观测器设计
尽管基于深度学习的方法在时空预测学习方面取得了巨大的成功,但这些模型的框架主要是由直觉设计的。如何在有理论保证的情况下进行时空预测仍然是一个具有挑战性的问题。在这项工作中,我们通过将动态系统的领域知识应用于深度学习模型的框架设计来解决这个问题。一个观察者理论指导的深度学习架构,称为时空观察者,是为高维数据的预测学习而设计的。该框架具有以下特点:一是为时空预测提供了泛化误差界和收敛性保证;其次,引入动态正则化,使模型在训练过程中更好地学习系统动力学。进一步的实验结果表明,该框架在单步和多步预测情景下都能有效地模拟时空动态,并做出准确的预测。
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