A dynamic nonlinear flow algorithm to model patient flow.

IF 3.9 2区 综合性期刊 Q1 MULTIDISCIPLINARY SCIENCES Scientific Reports Pub Date : 2025-04-08 DOI:10.1038/s41598-025-96536-z
Arsineh Boodaghian Asl, Jayanth Raghothama, Adam S Darwich, Sebastiaan Meijer
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Abstract

Hospitals are complex systems, and the flow of patients is dynamic and nonlinear in such systems. Network representation allows flow algorithms to observe bottlenecks as candidates for optimisation. To model the dynamic behaviour of the patient flow, we need to consider the variability in arrival rates and service times (length of stay). Previously proposed dynamic flow algorithms mainly focused on arrival and departure rates, inflow and outflow, edges' and vertices' capacity, and routing, with applications mainly in transportation and telecommunication. In hospitals, bottlenecks that emerge from the patients' flow are a result of the vertices (wards) behaviour defined by capacity (beds), number of servers (staff), service time variability, and edges (care pathways) distribution probability. We offer a modified flow algorithm that takes a hospital network, iterates over the patients' arrival rates, and measures the flow with respect to vertices' capacities, servers, service time variability, edge capacity, and distribution probability. The result is a dynamic residual graph to measure the bottlenecks' persistency and severity, identify the root causes of bottlenecks, and wards' dynamic nonlinear behaviour. The algorithm provides a quick holistic view of hospital performance and the analysis of the edges and vertices' behaviour over time.

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一种动态非线性流算法来模拟病人流。
医院是一个复杂的系统,病人的流动是动态的、非线性的。网络表示允许流算法观察瓶颈作为优化的候选者。为了模拟病人流动的动态行为,我们需要考虑到达率和服务时间(住院时间)的可变性。先前提出的动态流算法主要关注到达和离开率、流入和流出、边缘和顶点的容量以及路由,主要应用于交通和电信领域。在医院中,出现在病人流中的瓶颈是由容量(床位)、服务器数量(员工)、服务时间可变性和边缘(护理路径)分布概率定义的顶点(病房)行为的结果。我们提供了一种改进的流量算法,该算法采用医院网络,迭代患者到达率,并测量与顶点容量、服务器、服务时间可变性、边缘容量和分布概率相关的流量。结果是一个动态残差图,用于测量瓶颈的持久性和严重性,识别瓶颈的根本原因,以及ward的动态非线性行为。该算法提供了医院性能的快速整体视图,并分析了边缘和顶点随时间的行为。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
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来源期刊
Scientific Reports
Scientific Reports Natural Science Disciplines-
CiteScore
7.50
自引率
4.30%
发文量
19567
审稿时长
3.9 months
期刊介绍: We publish original research from all areas of the natural sciences, psychology, medicine and engineering. You can learn more about what we publish by browsing our specific scientific subject areas below or explore Scientific Reports by browsing all articles and collections. Scientific Reports has a 2-year impact factor: 4.380 (2021), and is the 6th most-cited journal in the world, with more than 540,000 citations in 2020 (Clarivate Analytics, 2021). •Engineering Engineering covers all aspects of engineering, technology, and applied science. It plays a crucial role in the development of technologies to address some of the world''s biggest challenges, helping to save lives and improve the way we live. •Physical sciences Physical sciences are those academic disciplines that aim to uncover the underlying laws of nature — often written in the language of mathematics. It is a collective term for areas of study including astronomy, chemistry, materials science and physics. •Earth and environmental sciences Earth and environmental sciences cover all aspects of Earth and planetary science and broadly encompass solid Earth processes, surface and atmospheric dynamics, Earth system history, climate and climate change, marine and freshwater systems, and ecology. It also considers the interactions between humans and these systems. •Biological sciences Biological sciences encompass all the divisions of natural sciences examining various aspects of vital processes. The concept includes anatomy, physiology, cell biology, biochemistry and biophysics, and covers all organisms from microorganisms, animals to plants. •Health sciences The health sciences study health, disease and healthcare. This field of study aims to develop knowledge, interventions and technology for use in healthcare to improve the treatment of patients.
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