Predictors of outcome in depression.

R Ionescu, C Popescu, I Jipescu
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Abstract

Several socio-demographic, family and clinical history variables, stressful life events, index episode characteristics, symptom severity, clinically and psychometrically assessed personality type and traits, and treatment were evaluated as potential predictors of multiple outcome criteria in a sample of 157 outpatients and inpatients meeting commonly used criteria for depression episodes. Outcome criteria included: severity scores on the final evaluation, improvement rate, impairment level of functioning, clinically rated treatment response, episode duration and relapse frequency in one year follow-up. Gender, personality structure and type, stressful life event characteristics, prior episode number, clinical status after the last episode, symptom length at intake, initial symptom severity, psychotic and endogenous features emerged as significant predictors of depression outcome in univariate analyses. The combination of independent variables by multivariate regression analyses improved outcome prediction.

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抑郁症预后的预测因素。
在157名符合抑郁症发作常用标准的门诊和住院患者中,对一些社会人口学、家庭和临床病史变量、压力生活事件、指数发作特征、症状严重程度、临床和心理测量学评估的人格类型和特征以及治疗作为多个结果标准的潜在预测因素进行了评估。结局标准包括:最终评估的严重程度评分、改善率、功能损害程度、临床评价的治疗反应、1年随访的发作持续时间和复发率。在单变量分析中,性别、人格结构和类型、压力生活事件特征、既往发作次数、最后一次发作后的临床状态、摄入时症状长度、初始症状严重程度、精神病性和内源性特征成为抑郁症结局的显著预测因子。通过多变量回归分析组合自变量提高了预后预测。
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