[The effects of fertility compression on birth sequence and age composition in Taiwan: a simulation].

C Yang
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Abstract

"Based on the cohort component projection, this paper simulates the effects of fertility compression on birth sequence and age composition in Taiwan, and explores the implications for social welfare. As a first step, we fix the fertility schedule on the age pattern of 1956 while leaving the TFR to shift as it was, [and] simulate the single year of age population groups from 1956 to 1992.... We subsequently assumed a fixed age pattern of fertility, a compressed pattern and an expanded pattern in a projection of five year...age groups from 1997 to 2097." (SUMMARY IN ENG)

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[生育率压缩对生育序列和年龄构成的影响:模拟]。
本研究以族群成分预测为基础,模拟生育压缩对台湾人口出生序列与年龄构成的影响,并探讨其对社会福利的影响。作为第一步,我们将生育计划固定在1956年的年龄模式上,同时让总生育率保持不变,[并]模拟1956年至1992年的单一年龄人口群体....随后,我们假设了一个固定的生育年龄模式,一个压缩模式和一个扩展模式在五年的预测中……从1997年到2097年的年龄组。”(英文摘要)
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
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