Prevention of drowning in home pools--lessons from Australia.

Ian Scott
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引用次数: 23

Abstract

As an affluent and warm weather country, Australia faced an epidemic of drowning in children under five as the popularity of home pools increased in the late 1960s and early 1970s. In one state child drowning rose by 6.62 per 100,000 in the five years from 1968. Variation across jurisdictions in actions to regulate domestic pools has resulted in Australia representing an unfortunate natural experiment in interventions to prevent child drowning in pools. Mechanisms adopted by various authorities were analysed in detail to identify factors that contributed to success and failure in regulating domestic pools. Despite early identification of the problem and development of what were later demonstrated to be effective interventions, best practice solutions were not established in any jurisdiction until 2002, 25 years after identification of the problem. Key failures in intervention were found to be: failure to act in a timely way, flawed regulation, blockage of timely action and repeal of effective state regulation under political pressure, and blockage of effective standards. Lessons are identified as: inherent weaknesses in the standard setting process, failure of interventions to address major risk categories, failure to act before the hazard grew, failure to consider lesser interventions for tactical reasons, failure to pay attention to advocates, and the need for continuing effort. The paper argues that analysis of the identification of the problem, development of interventions and implementation of mechanisms of prevention illustrate where systemic changes are required and indicate lessons that should be applied in developing and implementing future interventions.

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防止家庭泳池溺水——来自澳大利亚的经验教训。
作为一个富裕而温暖的国家,澳大利亚在20世纪60年代末和70年代初,随着家庭游泳池的普及,五岁以下儿童溺水的流行。在一个州,自1968年以来的五年间,儿童溺水率上升了6.62 / 10万。各司法管辖区在管理家庭游泳池的行动方面存在差异,导致澳大利亚在防止儿童在游泳池溺水的干预措施方面进行了不幸的自然实验。详细分析了各当局采用的机制,以确定导致管理国内池的成功和失败的因素。尽管早期发现了问题,并制定了后来被证明是有效的干预措施,但直到发现问题25年后的2002年,才在任何司法管辖区确立了最佳做法解决方案。调查发现,干预失败的关键是:未能及时采取行动,监管存在缺陷,在政治压力下阻碍及时行动并废除有效的国家监管,以及阻碍有效的标准。经验教训被确定为:标准制定过程中的固有弱点,干预措施未能解决主要风险类别,未能在危险增加之前采取行动,未能出于战术原因考虑较小的干预措施,未能注意倡导者,以及需要继续努力。本文认为,对问题的识别、干预措施的制定和预防机制的实施的分析说明了需要进行系统性变革的地方,并指出了在制定和实施未来干预措施时应应用的经验教训。
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