Arterial hypertension, myocardial infarction and stroke: risk of development and psychosocial factors.

Alaska medicine Pub Date : 2007-01-01
V V Gafarov, H A Gromova, I V Gagulin, Y C Ekimova, D K Santrapinskiy
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Abstract

Objective: To evaluate an influence of personal anxiety on risk of development of arterial hypertension (AH), myocardial infarction (MI) and stroke in men aged 25-64.

Study design and methods: Within the framework of program WHO MONICA-MOPSY a representative sample of men 25-64 years old (1984, 1988, 1994 years) was examined. The total sample was 2,149 persons. The period of supervision was 10-20 years. We counted as outcome all cases of AH, MI and stroke which had arisen for the first time. We used Spielberger's scale for estimation of personal anxiety (PA). Cox-proportional regression model was used for estimation of relative risk (RR).

Results: 58.7% men with developed MI had a high level of personal anxiety (HLA) and 41.3% an average level of anxiety (ALA); 72.2% men with developed stroke had HLA and 27.8% ALA, 42% men with developed AH had HLA. The relative risk of developed cardiovascular disease within five years in a group of men with HLA in comparison with a group of men with ALA was 2.5 times higher for MI and 6.4 times higher for stroke, 6.0 for AH. Within 10 years, RR of MI development increased 3.1 times, stroke -3.8 times, AH--5.0 times. Within 15 years, RR of MI development increased three times (p < 0.01), stroke -2.9 times. Within 20 years the tendency to RR decrease for development of MI (RR = 2.7) and stroke (RR = 1.6), AH (RR = 1.4) was observed.

Conclusion: The data indicate that high level of personal anxiety may predict higher cardiovascular risk in middle-age men.

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高血压、心肌梗死和中风:发展风险和社会心理因素。
目的:探讨个人焦虑对25-64岁男性动脉性高血压(AH)、心肌梗死(MI)和脑卒中发生风险的影响。研究设计和方法:在WHO MONICA-MOPSY规划框架内,对25-64岁男性(1984年、1988年、1994年)的代表性样本进行了检查。样本总数为2149人。监管期为10-20年。我们将所有首次出现的AH、MI和卒中病例计算为结果。我们使用Spielberger量表来评估个人焦虑(PA)。采用cox -比例回归模型估计相对危险度(RR)。结果:58.7%的男性MI患者有高水平的个人焦虑(HLA), 41.3%的男性MI患者有平均水平的焦虑(ALA);72.2%的脑卒中患者有HLA, 27.8%的ALA, 42%的AH患者有HLA。与ALA患者相比,HLA患者5年内发生心血管疾病的相对风险是心肌梗死患者的2.5倍,中风患者的6.4倍,AH患者的6.0倍。10年内心肌梗死发展的RR增加了3.1倍,卒中-3.8倍,AH- 5.0倍。15年内MI发展的RR增加3倍(p < 0.01),卒中-2.9倍。在20年内观察到心肌梗死(RR = 2.7)、卒中(RR = 1.6)、AH (RR = 1.4)的RR下降趋势。结论:高水平的个人焦虑可能预示着中年男性较高的心血管风险。
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