The distribution over time of costs and social net benefits for pertussis immunization programs.

Dorota Zdanowska Girard
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引用次数: 8

Abstract

The cost of a six-dose pertussis immunization programs for children and adolescents is investigated in relation to estimators of the price of acellular vaccine, the value of a child's life, levels of vaccination rate and discount rates. We compare the cost of the program maintained over time at 90% with three alternative strategies, each involving a decrease in vaccination coverage. Data from England and Wales, 1966-2005, is used to formalize a delay in occurrence of pertussis cases as a result of a fall in coverage. We first apply the criterion of minimization of the total social cost of pertussis to identify the best cost saving immunization strategy. The results are also discussed in form of the discounted present value of the total social net benefits. We find that the discounted present value of the total social net benefit is maximized when a stable vaccination program at 90% is compared to a gradual decrease in vaccination coverage leading to the lowest vaccination rate. The benefits to society of providing sustained immunization strategy, vaccinating the highest proportion of children and adolescents, are systematically proved on the basis of the second optimisation criterion, independently of the level of estimators applied during economic evaluation for the cost variables.

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百日咳免疫规划的成本和社会净收益随时间的分布。
对儿童和青少年六剂百日咳免疫规划的成本进行了调查,涉及非细胞疫苗的价格估算、儿童生命的价值、疫苗接种率水平和折扣率。我们将长期维持在90%的计划成本与三种替代策略进行比较,每种策略都涉及减少疫苗接种覆盖率。英格兰和威尔士1966年至2005年的数据被用来正式确定由于覆盖率下降而导致百日咳病例发生的延迟。我们首先应用百日咳总社会成本最小化的标准来确定节省成本的最佳免疫策略。结果还以社会总净收益的贴现现值形式进行了讨论。我们发现,当将90%的稳定疫苗接种计划与导致最低疫苗接种率的疫苗接种覆盖率逐渐下降进行比较时,总社会净效益的贴现现值最大化。在第二个优化标准的基础上,系统地证明了提供持续免疫战略、为最高比例的儿童和青少年接种疫苗对社会的益处,而不依赖于在对成本变量进行经济评估时使用的估计器的水平。
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