Root cause analysis of the fusarium keratitis epidemic of 2004-2006 and prescriptions for preventing future epidemics.

John D Bullock
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Abstract

Purpose: A root cause analysis of the Fusarium keratitis epidemic of 2004-2006 was performed.

Methods: Three US Food and Drug Administration (FDA) documents were analyzed. Poisson and case-control studies were performed on outbreak data from Singapore. Irreversible thermochromic labels were applied to cartons of contact lens solution bottles, which were then subjected to elevated temperatures.

Results: The 1997 FDA guidance document concerning storage temperatures of contact lens care products predicted temperature-related solution instability. Bausch & Lomb (B&L) requested FDA approval for ReNu with MoistureLoc, claiming that it was substantially equivalent to other products. FDA Form 483 stated that cases of ReNu-related Fusarium keratitis from Asia had not been reported, the removal of the product from the Asian markets was unreported, and B&L had not performed biocidal testing on samples associated with Asian cases. The outbreak in Singapore could have been recognized after only 3 cases (Pr = .0067). The cause of the Singapore outbreak could have been determined after the recognition of only 3 (P = .0429), 5 (95% confidence interval [CI], 1.15-126.0), or 15 cases (95% CI, 1.60-14.1). Thermochromic labels can irreversibly change color when exposed to elevated temperatures, thus warning of potential antimicrobial failure.

Conclusions: The worldwide Fusarium keratitis epidemic of 2004-2006 could, theoretically, have been prevented entirely, recognized much earlier, or mitigated by much more rigorous oversight by the FDA, by strict adherence by B&L to FDA guidelines and requirements, by the application of basic statistical methods, and/or by the use of temperature indication technology. The lessons learned from a root cause analysis of this pharmacologic catastrophy may help avert or mitigate future epidemics.

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2004-2006年镰孢角膜炎流行的根本原因分析及预防未来流行的处方。
目的:对2004-2006年镰孢角膜炎流行的根本原因进行分析。方法:对美国食品药品监督管理局(FDA)的3份文件进行分析。对来自新加坡的疫情数据进行了泊松研究和病例对照研究。不可逆的热致变色标签应用于隐形眼镜溶液瓶的纸盒,然后进行高温处理。结果:1997年FDA关于隐形眼镜护理产品储存温度的指导文件预测了与温度相关的溶液不稳定性。博士伦公司(B&L)要求FDA批准ReNu与保湿loc,声称它基本上等同于其他产品。FDA表格483指出,未报告来自亚洲的与renu相关的镰刀菌角膜炎病例,未报告从亚洲市场撤出该产品,并且B&L未对与亚洲病例相关的样品进行杀菌剂测试。新加坡的疫情仅在3例病例(Pr = 0.0067)后就可以被识别出来。在识别出3例(P = 0.0429)、5例(95%可信区间[CI], 1.15-126.0)或15例(95% CI, 1.60-14.1)病例后,可以确定新加坡疫情的原因。当暴露在高温下时,热致变色标签可以不可逆地改变颜色,从而警告潜在的抗菌失败。结论:从理论上讲,2004-2006年全球范围内的角膜炎镰刀菌流行是完全可以预防的,可以更早地发现,或者通过FDA更严格的监督,通过B&L严格遵守FDA的指导方针和要求,通过应用基本的统计方法,和/或通过使用温度指示技术来减轻。从这一药理学灾难的根本原因分析中吸取的教训可能有助于避免或减轻未来的流行病。
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