Testing and Contrasting Road Safety Education, Deterrence, and Social Capital Theories: A Sociological Approach to the Understanding of Male Drink-Driving in Chile's Metropolitan Region.

José Ignacio Nazif
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Abstract

Three theories offer different explanations to the understanding of male drink-driving. In order to test road safety education, deterrence, and social capital theories, logistic regression analysis was applied to predict respondents' statements of having or not having engaged in actual drink-driving (DD). Variable for road safety education theory was whether a driver had graduated from a professional driving school or not. Deterrence theory was operationalized with a variable of whether a driver had been issued a traffic ticket or not. Social capital theory was operationalized with two variables, having children or not and having religion identification or not. Since both variables 'years of formal education' and 'years of driving experience' have been reported to be correlated to alcohol consumption and DD respectively, these were introduced as controls. In order to assess the significance of each variable statistically, Wald tests were applied in seven models. Results indicate on the one hand that road safety education variable is not statistically significant; and on the other, deterrence theory variable and social capital theory variable 'having children' were both statistically significant at the level of .01. Findings are discussed in reference to Chile's context. Data were taken from the "Road Users Attitudes and Behaviors towards Traffic Safety" survey from the National Commission of Road Safety of the Government of Chile (2005). The sample size was reported to be 2,118 (N of male drivers was 396). This survey was representative of Chile's Metropolitan Region road users' population.

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道路安全教育、威慑与社会资本理论的检验与对比:以社会学方法了解智利大都市区男性酒驾。
三种理论对男性酒后驾车的理解提供了不同的解释。为了检验道路安全教育、威慑和社会资本理论,运用logistic回归分析预测被调查者有或没有实际酒后驾驶(DD)的陈述。道路安全教育理论的变量是驾驶员是否从专业驾驶学校毕业。威慑理论的操作变量是司机是否被开过交通罚单。社会资本理论以是否有子女和是否有宗教认同两个变量来运作。由于“正规教育年数”和“驾驶经验年数”这两个变量分别与饮酒和DD相关,因此引入这些变量作为对照。为了在统计上评估每个变量的显著性,对七个模型进行了Wald检验。结果表明:一方面,道路安全教育变量不具有统计学意义;另一方面,威慑理论变量和社会资本理论变量“生儿育女”均在0.01的水平上具有统计学意义。根据智利的情况讨论了调查结果。数据取自智利政府国家道路安全委员会(2005年)的“道路使用者对交通安全的态度和行为”调查。据报道,样本量为2118人(男性司机人数为396人)。这项调查代表了智利大都市区道路使用者的人口。
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