The role of race and ethnicity on the effect of graduated driver licensing laws in the United States.

Eduardo Romano, James Fell, Robert Voas
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Abstract

Objective: To determine if graduated driver licensing (GDL) law effects were the same for different racial/ethnic groups of young drivers.

Methods: The Fatality Analysis Reporting System (FARS) data files were analyzed using descriptive pre- and post-GDL law analyses and logistic regression. Analyses were conducted on 8,036 drivers aged 15 to 17 killed in single-vehicle crashes from 1999 to 2008. Whites, African-Americans, Asians, Hispanics, and Native Americans/Others were examined. Two analyses were conducted: one of all states, and one of the 23 states that adopted a GDL law between 1999 and 2008.

Results: Although GDL laws had varying degrees of success in reducing the likelihood of drinking and driving among young drivers of different racial/ethnic groups, that variation did not occur in fatal crashes where speeding was a factor, except for Hispanics. GDL laws showed similar reductions for White, African-American, and Asian young drivers in single-vehicle fatal crashes; however, young Hispanic drivers were not as affected by GDL as were Whites and African-Americans. Our analysis of states with GDL laws enacted between 2000 and 2007 showed no change for young Hispanic drivers in fatal crashes before and after a GDL law was adopted. Overall, GDL reductions were largest for young White drivers (p<.01), followed by African-Americans (p<.05), Asians (p<.05), and Hispanics (p<.10; not significant). GDL laws had no apparent effect on speeding-related fatal crashes of these novice drivers.

Implications: Reasons for these findings are hypothesized and discussed: (1) differences in drinking patterns of the racial/ethnic groups; (2) differences in driving exposure among the groups; and (3) differences in the influence of parents on youthful drivers entering the GDL phases.

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种族和民族对美国分级驾驶执照法影响的作用。
目的确定分级驾驶执照(GDL)法律对不同种族/民族的年轻驾驶员群体是否有相同的影响:采用分级驾驶执照法实施前和实施后的描述性分析以及逻辑回归法对死亡事故分析报告系统(FARS)的数据文件进行了分析。分析对象是 1999 年至 2008 年期间在单车碰撞事故中丧生的 8036 名 15 至 17 岁的驾驶员。研究对象包括白人、非裔美国人、亚洲人、西班牙裔美国人和美国原住民/其他族裔。我们进行了两项分析:一项是对所有州的分析,另一项是对在 1999 年至 2008 年间通过 GDL 法律的 23 个州的分析:尽管 GDL 法律在降低不同种族/族裔群体的年轻驾驶者酒后驾驶的可能性方面取得了不同程度的成功,但除了西班牙裔以外,这种差异并没有出现在超速驾驶导致的致命碰撞事故中。在单车致命碰撞事故中,GDL 法律对白人、非裔美国人和亚裔年轻驾驶者的影响类似;但是,西班牙裔年轻驾驶者受 GDL 的影响不如白人和非裔美国人。我们对 2000 年至 2007 年间颁布了 GDL 法律的各州进行了分析,结果显示,在通过 GDL 法律之前和之后,西班牙裔年轻驾驶员的致命碰撞事故率没有变化。总体而言,GDL 对年轻白人驾驶员的影响最大(pImplications:假设并讨论了这些发现的原因:(1)种族/民族群体饮酒模式的差异;(2)群体间驾驶经验的差异;以及(3)父母对进入 GDL 阶段的年轻驾驶者影响的差异。
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