[The research of establishing discriminant function for patients with angina pectoris by stepwise analysis based on serum inflammatory factors].

Zhi-bin Chen, Yan-bing Liang, Hao Tang, Zhong-hua Wang, Li-jin Zeng, Jing-guo Wu, Zhen-yu Li, Zhong-fu Ma
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Abstract

Objective: To improve cost-efficiency, discriminant functions in stepwise method was founded for the differential diagnosis of angina pectoris by detecting the serum level of high-sensitivity C-reactive protein (hs-CRP), macrophage migration inhibitory factor (MIF), interleukin-4 (IL-4) and interleukin-10 (IL-10) in patients with stable angina pectoris (SAP) and unstable angina pectoris (UAP).

Methods: Thirty-nine SAP patients and 47 UAP patients were enrolled into the study, while 39 healthy volunteers were enrolled into the controlled group forming the entire set of training samples. The serum levels of hs-CRP, MIF, IL-4 and IL-10 were measured by enzyme linked immunosorbent assay (ELISA). Data was analyzed by software to define discriminant functions in the ways of "entering" and "stepwise". Both functions were evaluated by the results of validation.

Results: By the way of "enter independent together", the following discriminant functions were defined based on the data of training samples' age, hs-CRP, MIF, IL-4, IL-10: healthy control group =-129.858 + 2.869×age -2.451×hs-CRP + 1.393×MIF + 6.001×IL-4 + 4.848×IL-10; SAP group=-161.037 + 2.896×age-2.022×hs-CRP + 1.662×MIF + 6.703×IL-4 + 6.287×IL-10; UAP group=-199.087 + 2.468×age-1.440×hs-CRP + 3.404×MIF-13.875×IL-4 + 7.752×IL-10. Retrospective validation showed 4.8% of total miss-grouping, while cross-validation showed 5.6% of total miss-grouping. By the way of "stepwise", the above data was screened by software and training samples' age, MIF and IL-10 were suggested to define the following functions: healthy control group = - 125.218 + 2.659 × age + 0.599×MIF + 5.040 × IL-10; SAP group=-157.864 + 2.721×age + 1.008×MIF + 6.468×IL-10; UAP group=- 197.327 + 2.360×age + 2.932×MIF + 7.640×IL-10. Both retrospective and cross validation showed 6.4% of total miss-grouping. Both sets of discriminant functions had the same efficiency (100%) for differential diagnosis of SAP and UAP.

Conclusion: The discriminant functions based on samples' age, MIF and IL-10, which were screened and suggested by stepwise method, may contribute to the differential diagnosis of atypical SAP and UAP, and therefore demonstrate better cost-efficiency.

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[基于血清炎症因子逐步分析建立心绞痛患者判别函数的研究]。
目的:为提高成本效益,通过检测稳定型心绞痛(SAP)和不稳定型心绞痛(UAP)患者血清中高敏c反应蛋白(hs-CRP)、巨噬细胞迁移抑制因子(MIF)、白细胞介素-4 (IL-4)和白细胞介素-10 (IL-10)水平,建立分步法判别功能,用于心绞痛的鉴别诊断。方法:选取39例SAP患者和47例UAP患者作为研究对象,同时选取39名健康志愿者作为对照组,形成整套训练样本。采用酶联免疫吸附试验(ELISA)检测血清hs-CRP、MIF、IL-4、IL-10水平。用软件对数据进行分析,以“进入”和“逐步”两种方式定义判别函数。通过验证结果对两种功能进行评价。结果:根据训练样本的年龄、hs-CRP、MIF、IL-4、IL-10数据,采用“一起独立输入”的方法定义了以下判别函数:健康对照组=-129.858 + 2.869×age -2.451×hs-CRP + 1.393×MIF + 6.001×IL-4 + 4.848×IL-10;SAP集团=-161.037 + 2.896×age-2.022×hs-CRP + 1.662×MIF + 6.703×IL-4 + 6.287×IL-10;UAP组=-199.087 + 2.468×age-1.440×hs-CRP + 3.404×MIF-13.875×IL-4 + 7.752×IL-10。回顾性验证漏组率为4.8%,交叉验证漏组率为5.6%。采用“逐步”方法对以上数据进行软件筛选,并结合训练样本的年龄、MIF、IL-10建议定义如下函数:健康对照组= - 125.218 + 2.659 ×年龄+ 0.599×MIF + 5.040 × IL-10;SAP集团=-157.864 + 2.721×age + 1.008×MIF + 6.468×IL-10;UAP组=- 197.327 + 2.360×age + 2.932×MIF + 7.640×IL-10。回顾性和交叉验证均显示6.4%的漏组。两组判别函数对SAP和UAP的鉴别诊断效率相同(100%)。结论:逐步筛选的基于样本年龄、MIF和IL-10的判别函数可用于非典型SAP和UAP的鉴别诊断,具有较好的成本-效益。
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