Joacim Rocklöv, Wolfgang Lohr, Marika Hjertqvist, Annelies Wilder-Smith
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引用次数: 23
Abstract
Background: Dengue is endemic in many countries visited by Swedish travellers. We aimed to determine the attack rate of dengue in Swedish travellers and analyse the trends over time and the geographical variation.
Methods: We obtained the following data from the Swedish Institute for Communicable Disease Control for the y 1995-2010: number of Swedish residents with confirmed dengue, the country and year of infection. We also obtained registers on the Swedish annual air traveller arrivals to dengue endemic areas from the United Nations World Tourist Organization for the time period. We estimated attack rates with 95% confidence intervals (CI).
Results: In total, 925 Swedish travellers with confirmed dengue were reported. We found an increasing trend over time for most destinations. The majority of the dengue cases were acquired in Thailand (492 out of 925 travellers; 53%), with an attack rate of 13.6 (95% CI 12.7, 14.4) per 100,000 travellers. However, the 2 highest attack rates per 100,000 travellers were found for Sri Lanka (45.3, 95% CI 34.3, 56.4) and Bangladesh (42.6, 95% CI 23.8, 61.5).
Conclusions: Information on attack rates in travellers is more helpful in guiding travel medicine practitioners than reports of absolute numbers, as the latter reflect travel preferences rather than the true risk. Although the majority of dengue infections in Swedish travellers were acquired in Thailand, the attack rates for dengue in travellers to Sri Lanka and Bangladesh were much higher. These data aid in refining information on the risk of dengue in travellers.
背景:登革热在瑞典旅行者访问的许多国家流行。我们的目的是确定登革热在瑞典旅行者中的发病率,并分析其随时间和地理变化的趋势。方法:我们从瑞典传染病控制研究所获得1995-2010年的以下数据:确诊登革热的瑞典居民人数、国家和感染年份。我们还从联合国世界旅游组织获得了这一时期瑞典每年飞往登革热流行地区的航空旅客登记表。我们以95%的置信区间(CI)估计发病率。结果:总共报告了925例瑞典旅行者确诊登革热。我们发现,随着时间的推移,大多数目的地的游客数量呈上升趋势。大多数登革热病例是在泰国获得的(925名旅行者中有492人;53%),每10万名旅客的发病率为13.6 (95% CI 12.7, 14.4)。然而,斯里兰卡(45.3,95%可信区间34.3,56.4)和孟加拉国(42.6,95%可信区间23.8,61.5)的攻击率最高。结论:旅行者发作率的信息比绝对数字的报告更有助于指导旅行医学从业人员,因为后者反映的是旅行偏好,而不是真实的风险。虽然瑞典旅行者中的大多数登革热感染是在泰国感染的,但前往斯里兰卡和孟加拉国的旅行者的登革热发病率要高得多。这些数据有助于完善关于旅行者中登革热风险的信息。