Assessment of changes in health care needs.

Khuderchuluun Nanjid, Chimedsuren Ochir, Sumberzul Nyamjav, Purevjav Mendsaikhan
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Abstract

By 2020, the population of Ulaanbaatar will reach 1,522,400 inhabitants. In addition, estimates show that relative to 2010, there will be 13.1% more outpatient registrations and 11.6% more inpatients by 2020. This study, conducted by descriptive design based on demographic and morbidity data, analyzes whether current health care facilities meet the demands and needs of the Ulaanbaatar population. It also assesses health care needs and accessibilty in Ulaanbaatar by 2020. Both data analysis and qualitative interviews with different sub-groups of the population reveal the neccesity to both reorganize primary level health care facilities and adjust resources in accordance with changing morbidity patterns.

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评估保健需求的变化。
到2020年,乌兰巴托的人口将达到1,522,400人。此外,据估计,到2020年,与2010年相比,门诊登记人数将增加13.1%,住院人数将增加11.6%。本研究采用描述性设计,以人口统计和发病率数据为基础,分析乌兰巴托目前的卫生保健设施是否满足人口的需求和需求。它还评估到2020年乌兰巴托的医疗保健需求和可及性。数据分析和对不同人群的定性访谈都表明,有必要重组初级保健设施,并根据不断变化的发病率模式调整资源。
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