Revisiting a two-patch SIS model with infection during transport

Julien Arino;Chengjun Sun;Wei Yang
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引用次数: 16

Abstract

We incorporate parameter heterogeneity in a two-patch susceptible-infectious-susceptible (SIS) epidemic model with infection during transport and prove that the disease-free and endemic equilibria are globally asymptotically stable when the basic reproduction number $\mathscr {R}_0 < 1$ and $\mathscr {R}_0>1$ , respectively. We find that infection during transport increases the possibility that the disease persists in both patches and amplifies prevalence when disease is present. We then study the effect of a perfect unilateral exit screening programme. Finally, we compare numerically the effects of using different incidence functions for infection within and while travelling between patches, and find that using mass action incidence to model infection during transport has the effect of maintaining disease prevalence at a higher level compared with when standard incidence is used.
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重新审视运输过程中感染的双补丁SIS模型
我们将参数异质性引入到具有运输过程中感染的两斑块易感-感染-易感(SIS)流行病模型中,并证明当基本繁殖数$\mathscr {R}_0 <1$和$\mathscr {R}_0>1$。我们发现,运输过程中的感染增加了疾病在两个斑块中持续存在的可能性,并在存在疾病时扩大了患病率。然后,我们研究了一个完美的单边出境筛查计划的效果。最后,我们在数值上比较了使用不同的发生率函数在斑块内部和斑块之间旅行时的感染效果,并发现使用质量作用发生率来模拟运输过程中的感染与使用标准发生率相比,具有将疾病流行率保持在更高水平的效果。
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