Distinguishing epidemiological features of the 2013-2016 West Africa Ebola virus disease outbreak.

Disaster health Pub Date : 2016-08-25 eCollection Date: 2016-01-01 DOI:10.1080/21665044.2016.1228326
James M Shultz, Zelde Espinel, Maria Espinola, Andreas Rechkemmer
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Abstract

The 2013-2016 West Africa Ebola virus disease epidemic was notable for its scope, scale, and complexity. This briefing presents a series of distinguishing epidemiological features that set this outbreak apart. Compared to one concurrent and 23 previous outbreaks of the disease over 40 years, this was the only occurrence of Ebola virus disease involving multiple nations and qualifying as a pandemic. Across multiple measures of magnitude, the 2013-2016 outbreak was accurately described using superlatives: largest and deadliest in terms of numbers of cases and fatalities; longest in duration; and most widely dispersed geographically, with outbreak-associated cases occurring in 10 nations. In contrast, the case-fatality rate was much lower for the 2013-2016 outbreak compared to the other 24 outbreaks. A population of particular interest for ongoing monitoring and public health surveillance is comprised of more than 17,000 "survivors," Ebola patients who successfully recovered from their illness. The daunting challenges posed by this outbreak were met by an intensive international public health response. The near-exponential rate of increase of incident Ebola cases during mid-2014 was successfully slowed, reversed, and finally halted through the application of multiple disease containment and intervention strategies.

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2013-2016 年西非埃博拉病毒病爆发的流行病学特征。
2013-2016 年西非埃博拉病毒疾病疫情因其范围、规模和复杂性而引人注目。本简报介绍了此次疫情与众不同的一系列流行病学特征。与 40 多年来同时爆发的 1 次疫情和之前爆发的 23 次疫情相比,这是唯一一次涉及多个国家并被定性为大流行病的埃博拉病毒病疫情。在衡量疫情规模的多个指标中,2013-2016 年的疫情都可以用 "超级 "来准确描述:就病例数和死亡人数而言,这次疫情规模最大、死亡人数最多;持续时间最长;地理分布最广,与疫情相关的病例发生在 10 个国家。相比之下,2013-2016 年疫情的病死率远远低于其他 24 次疫情。超过17000名 "幸存者"(即成功康复的埃博拉患者)是持续监测和公共卫生监控的一个特别关注人群。国际公共卫生机构采取了强有力的应对措施,以应对此次疫情带来的严峻挑战。通过采用多种疾病遏制和干预策略,成功减缓、扭转并最终阻止了 2014 年年中埃博拉病例近乎指数级的增长速度。
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